Originally Posted by I Liek Mudkipz
don't mean to derail the thread but what would a W$SD stat of 55.53 mean if WTSD is 29.4%? is that basically just a winning station? and if so does that mean i'm getting lucky
Yeah, you've probably been fairly lucky, but sample size has a lot to say here.
A couple of weeks ago, I was reaching showdown a whopping 33% of the time and had the best hand 58% of the time. I was on an insane heater, where I kept flopping sets and flushes and getting paid off, but it only lasted 1200 hands.
Some players also play a lot of drawing hands (suited connectors especially) so often reach showdown because they flop a decent draw and villain doesn't price them out of chasing it. if they bink the flushes/straights more often than expected then the W$SD can shoot up.
You can contrast this to the fit-or-fold nitboxes. They might only play pairs and AK, and very rarely a suited ace or suited connector. They might only have a WTSD of 20%, but if they make it to the river it's because they had at least TPTK, and often an overpair of set, so their W$SD can be as high as 60% or more.
A well rounded TAG will be more likely to have a WTSD of around 22-27% and a W$SD just above 50%. If you're winning at SD 55% of the time or more, then you're probably not raising on the river often enough. If you raise on the river when you think you're ahead, you'll get more value when villains call. (If they fold to your raise, then the hand won't have increased your WTSD).