Probability of losing 20 scratch off's in a row? - Other Gambling Games Forum

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Probability of losing 20 scratch off's in a row?

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07-16-2017 , 12:26 PM

Mr.Jones

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 527

I degened over this last week and have bought a total of 20, $10 scratch off lottery tickets, from various places and days / times. No more than 1 ticket at a time.

I haven't won even a $10 break even on a single ticket, and according to the posted odds on the back of them it's 1 in 3 of winning.

What are the odds of losing 20 in a row?

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07-16-2017 , 01:29 PM

callipygian

slowrolled by tpiranha!

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 19,880

(2/3)^20

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07-16-2017 , 04:28 PM

Mr.Jones

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 527

Last edited by Mr.Jones; 07-16-2017 at 04:45 PM.

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07-22-2017 , 09:46 PM

the degenerate

banned

Join Date: Jul 2017 Posts: 1,452

This has got to be the worst way to gamble man.

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07-24-2017 , 01:35 PM

2pairsof2s

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,608

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Originally Posted by Mr.Jones

What are the odds of losing 20 in a row?

If we choose to believe you (and why would you lie?) then I would say the odds are 100%.

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07-24-2017 , 02:35 PM

callipygian

slowrolled by tpiranha!

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 19,880

I like how on July 16 it was "bought 20 tickets, didn't win any of them" and on July 23 it was "bought 40 tickets, didn't win any of them, RIGGED."

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07-24-2017 , 03:16 PM

SuperSwag

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 5,765

My uncle won 50k on a scratcher so they most certainly aren't rigged. I had a friend who ran pretty +EV on scratchers too but I think a majority of people lose, lose and lose more.

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07-24-2017 , 03:27 PM

the degenerate

banned

Join Date: Jul 2017 Posts: 1,452

Playing scratchers is unbelievably LOL at best.

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07-24-2017 , 06:44 PM

browni3141

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2015 Posts: 5,678

1/3 seems high. Are you sure they aren't advertised as 3:1, which would be 1/4 chance of winning? The scratchers I've played were never 1/3 (2:1).

Disclaimer: I've never bought a scratcher for myself. I like to pretend I'm smarter than that.

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08-15-2017 , 04:47 AM

#10

SuitedJunk

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 2,682

well, the odds are clearly stated on the back of the scratchers...

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09-02-2017 , 10:15 AM

#11

Sally Utley

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 46

If you are buying a ticket from different places then it's highly possible.

Typically the odds are for the overall amount of tickets printed, however some packs have more winners than others. If you must play them, buy them from the same pack, you'll win something sooner or later.

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09-04-2017 , 05:23 PM

#12

ntnBO

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 7,643

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sally Utley

Sick bump from OP's wife perhaps.

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10-28-2017 , 03:56 PM

#13

SuitedJunk

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 2,682

After this thread I bought a few scratchers... 3 x 30's... One paid $1000 and the two others were a ticket....

I had 5 losers in a row that was my worst run....

I started getting worried that the guys behind the counter were doing something with these tickets.. they would make comments like "are you sure you want this one it's number 004" etc... Now I feel more comfortable buying them from a machine... I'd like to buy an entire roll if possible but where to find out what quantities are in a roll.

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10-30-2017 , 12:24 PM

#14

pucmo

adept

Join Date: Mar 2016 Posts: 1,187

If your lifetime sample size is 20, just to add.

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