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Originally Posted by Fubster
I don't know how often you actually play those games, but there's a lot of situations where the best play is not "very obvious." Not all games are perfect games, not all games are blackjack. The book is primarily useful because it's the first time charts were published for different qualities and "types" of games.
I played and still play a lot of hole-card, that's what annoys me when you get people talking about this stuff and boasting about double-digit advantages. The true picture is underwhelming because of the massive amount of downtime, the overall hourly edge inclusive of scouting is comparable with card counting, with slightly lower variance.
When you talk about the best play being obvious, I think if you actually grind the numbers on this you'd understand you are talking about very small gains in terms of your overall hourly earnings. By definition, making the best play when it isn't obvious isn't worth that much.
Say, you gain 5% from making the best play that occurs one hand in a hundred. You've gained 0.05% of whatever you are betting for that session.
Now, you have to divide by the frequency with which you encounter that type of hole-carding opportunity. Say you encounter that game one time in a hundred hours of play,
your total hourly profits have increased by 0.0005%.
Remember, that one hole-carding opportunity is a small subset of all the HC you do, and an even smaller subset of your total time spent scouting.
By all means, come up with your own figures, but I think you'll find this stuff is just a massive waste of time.
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I'm not sure why this book brings up such strong feelings in you. It's obviously a useful book, it's well-written and it's comprehensive. I don't think anyone's arguing that it's some sort of holy bible or anything like that. Do you have some sort of personal issue with the author or something?
You don't seem to have met many of Grosjean's very small but incredibly vicious and cult-like fanbase. "Holy bible" is exactly how they see it.
If someone wants to fork out $2000 for the book on e-bay fine, but they should know precisely what the value of the information to them is so they can make an informed choice.
Regarding "strong feelings": I've never written a published word about Grosjean. He has written an entire chapter of increasingly hysterical abuse directed at me personally, referring to me as a "fraud" and "charlatan". He also repeatedly refers to the advantage play community in general abusively, for example, he described card counters as "salamanders crawling out of the ooze". He has some sort of weird messiah/napoleon complex.
The personal stuff doesn't really bother me that much, indeed repeated attacks by Grosjean and his insane fanbase sold me a lot of books. You can't buy the type of publicity a good public slanging match produces.
What does however frustrate me intensely is the way the advantage play community has been ignoring all the fantastic opportunities in advantage play that have emerged and been developed in the last ten years. It has become backward and incestuous, to the point where people actually talk about a book like this, that refines a seventy-year old technique such as hole-carding, as if were some kind of revelation. That's no way to embrace the future and get rich.