Quote:
Originally Posted by Bighurt52235
I've been dealing baccarat for years and have yet to see anyone playing who isn't a complete tard who thinks they can predict future outcomes based on past results.
I can predict the outcome even without the past results. I predict that it will be one of these three results:
- Banker 45.8597% chance
- Player 44.6247% chance
- Tie 9.5156% chance
In all seriousness, baccarat is a great illustration of the gambler's fallacy. In an eight deck shoe, even if you count the cards perfectly you will pretty much end up losing. The past results of the hands do not impact the next hand to come out of the shoe, so no betting system based on past results will work over the long run. Great explanation here:
http://vegasclick.com/gambling/fallacy
Some people will tell you that just betting the banker bet every time is the way to go; however, even that won't be profitable in the long run because of the house taking a commission on banker wins.
To my knowledge,
I am the only person who has developed a system of beating baccarat profitably over the long term using the rules and odds as they currently exist in just about every US casino. The reason?
I play the odds and do not base any prediction on the previous outcome.