Quote:
Originally Posted by overun
Quote:
The whales are dumping and shorting. It looks like CME Futures was a huge mistake. Derivatives are a scam for crooks, bots and insiders. IF ETF's had launched in 2017 rather than Futures the price would be steadily growing today, not crashing IMO.
Please help me out because I'm very noob to financial markets in general, but why is it that futures are a big scam and crash the market but ETFs would help continuously elevate the market?
Not trolling!
A few reasons. With futures, you can take a huge position short and then dump for size and basically sell out without slippage. This encourages whales to sell as they can now exit without devaluing most of their holdings
For two, futures are generally only available to advanced traders. ETFs are available to garden variety retail losers, who love to ride bubbles and buy up penny stocks and go a little nuts trying to get rich. For example, there's a good argument made that the creation of gold and silver ETFs around a decade ago caused the gold and silver bubble - something that never happened with futures.
I think it's a reasonable point, but I don't think it's the reason the bubble deflated a bit. Bitcion is ****ing stupid and pointless and the rise in transaction costs meant that even the small number of non-illegal use cases are now dead. So Bitcoin is basically a pyramid, and as it mainstreamed the pyramid grew exponentially. The exponential ceased as the numbers of morons got saturated, and it lost 70% of its value as new pyramid layers failed to come in. I think that's the dynamic, not futures. Bitcoin tripled after the futures came out.
If you dispute that, why did all the alts - mostly useless and with a market cap larger than Bitcoin at the height of the bubble - crash also? They weren't traded on CME and yet they crashed, many more than Bitcoin. The simple and likely explanation is that the Bitcoin bubble collapsed because the pyramid/ponzi ran out of exponentially growing fresh meat.