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Old 04-27-2017, 03:05 PM   #776
cicakman
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

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I'm long HABT and FOLD. Anyone familiar?
From September last year. FOLD had its gains. HABT was 14 and is 19.20 today.
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Old 04-27-2017, 03:46 PM   #777
wopbabalubop
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

Is ANF finally bottomed out here?
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Old 04-27-2017, 04:32 PM   #778
juan valdez
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

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google earnings today

anyone think the market has underestimated the impact of the advertising pull out on youtube?
the correct answer would be no
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Old 04-27-2017, 05:34 PM   #779
DoctorZangief
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

So who wants to guess what HCG and co. will do tomorrow? Pretty big run up at 3pm.
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Old 04-27-2017, 05:38 PM   #780
formula72
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

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I can see lack of dickheads is not one of the draws of this forum.
Brian is one of Sklansky's BFI bots.

AFAIK, it really is only programmed to say a few things ATM, such as..

Yes
How do you buy VIX?
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Old 04-27-2017, 07:11 PM   #781
schundler
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

You can buy options on it. https://sixfigureinvesting.com/2010/...g-vix-options/
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Old Yesterday, 12:54 AM   #782
Steiger
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

Do not buy VIX options, learn how and when to sell them...
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Old Yesterday, 11:24 AM   #783
ibavly
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

Nts just dipped 10% on news of issuance of 20% of outstanding shares at a 20% discount. That seems like a pretty steep discount, but part of the rationale is to redeem high interest convertible bonds. If this mostly just cleans up the balance sheet it might cause a bounce back, although the $1.15 price might be a drag for the next month.
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Old Yesterday, 11:51 AM   #784
rafiki
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

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Nts just dipped 10% on news of issuance of 20% of outstanding shares at a 20% discount. That seems like a pretty steep discount, but part of the rationale is to redeem high interest convertible bonds. If this mostly just cleans up the balance sheet it might cause a bounce back, although the $1.15 price might be a drag for the next month.
I really like how the market has responded today frankly. Those following close know that this means iChina still hasn't payed them yet. When faced with that, they could have gone asking for 3-5m and annoy the crap out of investors, or just take 12m and make their balance sheet rock solid for 3 years or more given the new much lower burn.

I like the timing of it well ahead of earnings, and I think there's some method to that too. The story with these guys is just one of extreme regulation and brutally long sales cycles. But those who get it in good are going to do great I maintain. The one sort of black swan would be them coming out on the call and saying China full on backed out or something of that nature. But with how much both parties have done to get to the point they're at now, I'd be pretty surprised to hear that. I'll actually write the rep now to find out what they may be willing to say.
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Old Yesterday, 01:58 PM   #785
BooLoo
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

they couldn't do this deal now and then reveal they lost their biggest contract a month from now. so i guess there's just no progress on the china deal.
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Old Yesterday, 03:22 PM   #786
BrianTheMick2
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

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formula72 is teasing me about my proclivities for yelling at misinformed trolls who say they "bought VIX."
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Old Yesterday, 06:48 PM   #787
rafiki
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

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they couldn't do this deal now and then reveal they lost their biggest contract a month from now. so i guess there's just no progress on the china deal.
They certainly gave no reason to expect it to happen this Q, so it looks like they decided to go long term strength here for sure.
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Old Today, 02:21 AM   #788
Smokey_The_Bear
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

How are you guys locating stocks mid day to trade?

Let's take RCL today as an example. The chart seems to me that upside and buying pressure is exhausted at $110 a share. I'd short this at $109. But I didn't find out about this until $107.60 because of stocktwits.

I know i'm missing some "professional" tools at the moment because I work a day job, but risk/reward interday opportunities like this seem to present themselves quite often. And either i'm missing the opportunities, or i'm deluding myself into think shorting RCL at $109 today has a greater than 50% EV.

Still piled into the tail end of this short, but I know I can be catching these earlier with the right tools.
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Old Today, 02:36 AM   #789
Smokey_The_Bear
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Re: 2017 Trading Thread

At the risk of sounding stupid, I figured i'd just mention one of my favorite setups, the gap up plus mid day rise close sale.

It's Friday and we've had wine and guests so cut me a little slack. Let's look at MDXG. This is one of my favorite setups, and I sincerely want criticism on why this is either -EV or me picking up pennies in front of a train etc.

You see a gap up in the morning. Stock rises excessively mid day. There's 15-30 mins left before close. What do you do?

I have consistently found these excellent opportunities to short as longs take their profit. Again, I should have a scanner for this. clearly. These are tiny moves. But me shorting at 12.82 here 15-25 minutes before close seems like a really good opportunity to me. I'd love to hear opinions either way, but shorting these gap up plus up run up money makers into close has been a printing press the last 6 months.
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