Yeah I think originally I thought the cat wouldn't make it, but now I have a cat and I think the cat in the picture will make it. Like cats can bend their bodies so unnaturally, or to humans it would be unnatural. That cat definitely has room to bend like so that both the upper and the lower part of the body are more upwards.
I surmise at least 50% of the failed jumps were because the felines slipped on launch and 25% of the rest slipped on landing and the major determining factor is the surface, not distance. Since I can eliminate the initial 50% failure rate, and hedge the 25% landing slip and 25% distance failure:
I predict SUCCESS with 85% confidence (75% stats and 10% bonuses for the confidence in the cat's eyes!)
About a decade ago as I lay on my bedroom floor doing situps my 18 year old cat jumped over me like Free Willy from a chair to my bed which were at equal height and about 6 feet apart. I was shocked. This cat certainly made it.
cats always manage to scramble up these surfaces even if they don't quite make it initially, they sorta dig there claws in and pull themselves up in midair