Huck Seed Prop Bet to Run 4:39 Mile - Poker News

I just heard on the Gary Wise show that Huck Seed, age 40, has made a prop bet to run a 4:39 mile before the end of the year. He is getting 33 to 1. They didnt say the amount. But I am guessing something like 5 grand vs 165 grand?

Anyway, I would guess that most former NCAA All-Americans in the mile would have trouble running a 4:39 mile at age 40. I think Huck has no shot.

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03-28-2009 , 04:47 PM

The4thFilm

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 13,472

Bet the US Federal budget against.

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03-28-2009 , 04:49 PM

killsadie

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Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 6,338

i would never bet against huck seed on anything!

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03-28-2009 , 04:49 PM

Frankie6636

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Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 995

LOL that is impossible i would bet everything i got against huck running that, easy money right there. If he was in his 20s and been running track his whole life it would still be hard to do that. LOL at 4:39 LOL

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03-28-2009 , 04:51 PM

finnianp

adept

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 765

He's not a thick person. Why would he agree if its as bad as you say Frankie? He must have some shot at it.

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03-28-2009 , 05:01 PM

RedManPlus

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Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 2,169

Quote:

Originally Posted by Frankie6636

Actually, here's a 46 year old at 4:13...
But the ONLY way Huck is running 4:39 at 40...
Is if he was serious, competitive runner in his college days...
You need GENETICS to run 4:39 at any age.

http://masterstrack.com/blog/005333.html

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03-28-2009 , 05:05 PM

thegumonyourshoe

adept

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 732

what if you were running down-hill?

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03-28-2009 , 05:06 PM

phillipemoren

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Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 2,186

Quote:

Originally Posted by finnianp

He's not a thick person. Why would he agree if its as bad as you say Frankie? He must have some shot at it.

hes got a shot if its a windy day and the wind is on his back.

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03-28-2009 , 05:08 PM

David Sklansky

Administrator

Join Date: Aug 2002 Posts: 17,096

Neil Chapelle, if I spelled his name right, is an old time Stardust Razz player and just might become, if I am not mistaken about the record, the first seventy year old to break five minutes. He hangs out at the Bellagio once in a while. If I was him I'd be winning lots of money.

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03-28-2009 , 05:10 PM

#10

Alobar

Born Ready

Join Date: Nov 2003 Posts: 42,368

Huck aint no dummy, thats all that really needs to be said

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03-28-2009 , 05:11 PM

#11

lwrunner103

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 2,009

I think he wins less than 3% of the time so good bet for Gary Wise.

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03-28-2009 , 05:14 PM

#12

Rhythms

adept

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 1,033

I don't think he understands the amount of training that is required for the average person to break 5 minutes.

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03-28-2009 , 05:15 PM

#13

DAT MOOSE

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 1,496

if anyone wants to give me 33-1 on this i will bet i can do it.

i also like hucks side of this bet

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03-28-2009 , 05:16 PM

#14

xLed

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 522

Roosevelt's quote: "The cold and timid souls who know neither victory nor defeat" comes to mind here

The consolation prize of being in awesome shape is probably worth the 5k alone, maybe he just needs some motivation, a goal, and now hes got supporters.

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03-28-2009 , 05:21 PM

#15

Ce1ska

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Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 4,598

Giving him to much time to prepare IMO

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03-28-2009 , 05:25 PM

#16

phillipemoren

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Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 2,186

did they give the reason why 4:39 was chosen instead of like 4:40?

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03-28-2009 , 05:33 PM

#17

nng2000

enthusiast

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 74

Pretty sure Huck's brother did this bet in the past, but at 4:30, and lost after running a 4:35 mile or something like that.

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03-28-2009 , 05:36 PM

#18

TheSecret

enthusiast

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 47

He really has no shot at this unless he was pretty much a pro athlete when younger and still runs a lot.

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03-28-2009 , 05:41 PM

#19

phillipemoren

banned

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 2,186

How much training would be required and what types of training would it take for a completely sedentary man to reach a sub 5 min mile?

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03-28-2009 , 05:44 PM

#20

Takeover

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Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,236

Quote:

Originally Posted by phillipemoren

How much training would be required and what types of training would it take for a completely sedentary man to reach a sub 5 min mile?

totally depends on age.

at 16, 6 months min.
at 25, 1 year.
at 35, 3 years.
at 45+ 5 years.

imo (i could be off on 35/45)

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03-28-2009 , 05:58 PM

#21

Paul McSwizzle

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 5,531

very tough, but if I was Huck and getting 33:1 I'd take it

(I think it'd be -EV, but +"life"EV in terms of getting in shape

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03-28-2009 , 06:16 PM

#22

RainFall

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 393

Was there any stipulation saying he couldn't be on pseudoephedrine or cocaine or some stimulant? Don't forget that!

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03-28-2009 , 06:19 PM

#23

vig

adept

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 1,041

Breaking 5 minutes would have been a huge challenge at age 40. I know hucks a good runner and very driven. Shaving seconds under 5 minutes is really hard.

It's not really a matter of time at age 40. At age 40 he'll have endurance but man you just gotta have speed.

You can't teach speed. At age 40 he's lost a step and he just won't be able to get all of it back. Strength and weight training will help but damn.

Think of it this way he will need to run 4 70 second quarter miles back to back to back.