Quote:
Originally Posted by Howard Treesong
I've never played HU Omaha, so what the hell do I know. But I'd imagine your respective skill levels are much much closer than Hall/Dentale, and the variance in HU Omaha to be higher than NLHE. Where would you set the line on a match against DN?
It depends on the structure (deeper is in Joey's favour IMO) and how many games it is the best of.
At an extreme end of the scale, 25/50, 50K chips, no blind increases, best of 9 games I would make the line Chicago Joey 1/5 83%, DNegs 5/1 17%
But if, as more likely, it's something like 25/50, 25K chips, blinds rise once to 50/100 after 50 hands, best of 3 games, I'd make the line: Chicago Joey 1/2 67%, DNegs 2/1 33%
These are no layer's margin odds, and I am not taking bets.
I can well believe DNegs has made a lot of money playing PLO cash games, but remember as well as being a great all round player, he has had access to whales in big games over the years, and there is hard evidence showing that back in the day players such as Sammy Farha were not actually very good at PLO, certainly if judged by modern day PLO skill levels. (evidence being his PLO strat book and some interviews he gave)
Chicago Joey knows every PLO strat and play possible and is great at adjusting to opponents in PLO so that's why I make him quite a strong favourite.
Gl to both and should be an enjoyable and interesting match to watch.
Last edited by SageDonkey; 03-29-2017 at 01:38 PM.