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Originally Posted by MonsterJMcgee
So if the US economy gets back to how it was in 2006, should we expect poker to be equally as popular as it was at that point?
No, because the government now is getting in the way in both laws and the "pay-for-play" system we have today in our legislatures. The "boom" happened because the business model was unfettered and unregulated, which is why FTP happened (for the good and bad). Innovation is generally stifled in a crony capitalist system; Pokerstars or FTP wouldn't happen in today's world because mediocrity is rewarded in the form of stock buybacks, M&As, etc.
The US economy is doing OK, but it's only really hitting the top 5-10% of incomes. That's why you are seeing less and less people in your $1-$2 games, but more high rollers for people like Bill Perkins to play. The average consumer is not doing OK.
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Why wasn't poker massively popular in the 90s?
Access mostly. Gambling (and other vices, think: weed) have become more favorable to the public over the last decade, and governments have followed suit in being more amicable to it (casinos, lottery, fantasy sports). Talking the football lines at the office was a big no-no in the 90s. Now? Everyone from the hot girl in the cubicle next to you, to the CEO at the holiday party, now is discussing who they are playing on DraftKings this weekend.
Why wasn't gay marriage popular in the 1990s? People didn't socially evolve yet.
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Believing that the economy is the single reason poker is dead is wrong.
I never said this, and there are many factors I agree with you, in why poker is flailing - but when the customer base is in ad hoc, mostly due to wage pressures and lack of job opportunity, its going to effect the product. When senior citizens, a big consumer of any form of gambling, is only seeing 1-1.5% increases from SS (and haircuts to their pensions), not even beating the CPI "inflation" number.......consumption of ALL forms is going to take a hit.
Poker is a consumption product. It's a form of gambling with a lifestyle of its own that has many off shoots for product placement and sales. In order for consumers to consume, they need money. They need a constant stream of money because most people who play poker lose at it, and less than 5% make enough significant money off of it to be 100% independently wealthy of of it (without help).