Quote:
Originally Posted by leolauzon
When I had quads? On the river? I don't remember being in this situation, no. Did you?
Also you have to factor in that he overbet the river (700k in 600k), and the other guy also overbet the pot (2.7m to call in 2m), it's a situation that means extreme strenght 99.9% of the time . So yes straight flush makes a lot of sense to me. Things are also different in a million dollar tourney and a 10$ sit and go.
Smirnov is repping at the minimum a fullhouse in my opinion. A flush doesn't overbet the river.
Amatuers don't think on this level. You guys are giving Morgan WAAAAAAAAY more credit than he deserves. He likely doesn't understand what bet sizes mean and likely only thinks about the strength of his own hand. 77 makes the most sense to me, JJ behind that, ace high flush behind that, KK behind that, and straight flush behind that (mostly because it's only one combo).
Either way, all of these hands are in his range. He could have any of them. And Smirnov beats all but one. It wouldn't even matter if the straight flush somehow IS the most likely, it's still a horrendous fold that should never, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever be made.