Quote:
Originally Posted by kaby
Have to point out that ZOOM is in effect a very strict KotH. If a fish sit the best 3 regs at a stake will all play 4 tables, and worse regs won't be profitable in that lineup. The fish will play ~all his hands vs the very best regs, and have even more losing sessions.
Can't believe I just thought of this, but HU ZOOM with a one table cap might actually be good for HU
*edit* just to be clear, I think the current system is ~the best possible and doesn't need changing. Feels like the next step towards removing HU to me.
+1 to all of this
The way I see this working is that for all stakes 400+, most of the time there will be no action with one of the top regs sitting (note, if a top 5k reg finds 400 worth playing then they could be controlling that lobby). Maybe for the first few months there will be some action between medium to top regs, where people will think they have an edge on each other. After all, there is a common
cognitive bias of thinking you are relatively better at performing than you actually are. See:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overconfidence_effect. Eventually this action will die out and mostly nobody will play unless there is one or more recreational player(s) in the pool.
Then, when a recreational player starts playing, there will be value added to the pool and people other than the single best reg will join. "Zoom bumhunting" will probably prove to not be sustainable for most tier-2 regs. There will just be too many hands you have to play against people that are better than you for every hand you play against someone who is significantly worse than you.
Then the pools will basically be left with the best 3-5 regs playing with 1 or more recreational players. Assuming that the win rates of these best regulars are close to 0 when playing against each other, there will only be incentive for them to play when a rec player joins. The thing is, I just don't think this system benefits any professionals... not even the very best players.
Say you had 3 players, A, B, and C are regs, D is a rec player, and the table cap is 1 for simplicity
Player A beats all regs for $1/hand and the rec player for $5/hand
Player B breaks even vs all regs ($0/hand) and beats the rec player for $4/hand
Player C loses to all regs for -$1/hand and beats the rec player for $3/hand
Player D loses to all players for an average of -$4/hand
Player A is doing the best in this situation. During hand 1 he makes $1 in expectation, hand 2 he makes $3, and hand 3 he makes $1 for a total of $5 in profit.
Player C still has an incentive to play, because for hand 1 and 2 he loses $1, but for hand 3 he makes $3 off the recreational player, for a total of $1 in profit.
Even though Player A is doing the best out of the 3 players, as more players join the pool, the number of hands he plays with a maximized win rate decreases until most of the hands he's playing are against other good regs, who by the way are incentivized more than ever to get better.
It seems like it will be a sort of race to the bottom where professionals are forced to battle over small edges until they decide its not worth it any more and quit. Because you're not a robot, you can't get by paying for your personal finances if edges get too small. However, there is a huge incentive to make the other players quit first, so that you're the only player left, to the point that you could actually chose to keep playing even if the edges are too small just because you think the other person will have to quit first (maybe because of their personal finances or because they think there will be a better career option).
Altogether, this, along with the eventual removal of HU tables on Stars is where I see things going. It doesn't seem to be good for anyone except maybe rec players who strongly prefer to play HU in a zoom setting.