Originally Posted by theginger45
Obviously just looking for a way to give himself greater motivation to play more events and play better. I doubt he's dumb enough to believe he has a 25% chance of winning a bracelet in any one year, but the increase in his EV from him staying motivated is probably > whatever he might lose in the bet. Plus obviously if he does bink one off he makes a bunch extra.
Not even close to an insane idea, probably a pretty good one.
It would depend on if he has set a relatively small cap for example if i had 20 million, I would bet 3 million against, if he accepted then it would be insane.
5k no big deal with his bankroll (but i still wouldn't do it if i was him)