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Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet)
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05-23-2013 , 02:00 PM
#1
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From his twitter:

Quote:
Looking for action at 3 to 1 on winning a bracelet this summer. Also willing to bet on myself vs almost anyone and lay small odds...
3to1 on winning a bracelet. Srsly wtf. if only i had money (btw he only excluded ivey, negreanu (i dont know why) and hellmuth from 'laying odds')

discuss.
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 02:03 PM
#2
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sicko. get it
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 02:03 PM
#3
the1macdaddy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shorshi
From his twitter:



3to1 on winning a bracelet. Srsly wtf. if only i had money (btw he only excluded ivey, negreanu (i dont know why) and hellmuth from 'laying odds')

discuss.
doesn't seem to improbable. He usually runs deep in tournaments/wins them. Was '11 his last bracelet win or did he win one last year? icr
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 02:05 PM
#4
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2009 - $1.5k PLO
2011 - $5k PLO

are his bracelets
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 02:07 PM
#5
TheCooler101
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Jason Mercier gone insane?

In short.... yes.
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 02:09 PM
#6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shorshi
2009 - $1.5k PLO
2011 - $5k PLO

are his bracelets
thats what I thought, I was too lazy too google it
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 02:13 PM
#7
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Obviously just looking for a way to give himself greater motivation to play more events and play better. I doubt he's dumb enough to believe he has a 25% chance of winning a bracelet in any one year, but the increase in his EV from him staying motivated is probably > whatever he might lose in the bet. Plus obviously if he does bink one off he makes a bunch extra.

Not even close to an insane idea, probably a pretty good one.
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 02:25 PM
#8
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nope, pretty sure it's a bad idea.
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 02:34 PM
#9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by theginger45
Obviously just looking for a way to give himself greater motivation to play more events and play better. I doubt he's dumb enough to believe he has a 25% chance of winning a bracelet in any one year, but the increase in his EV from him staying motivated is probably > whatever he might lose in the bet. Plus obviously if he does bink one off he makes a bunch extra.

Not even close to an insane idea, probably a pretty good one.
It would depend on if he has set a relatively small cap for example if i had 20 million, I would bet 3 million against, if he accepted then it would be insane.

5k no big deal with his bankroll (but i still wouldn't do it if i was him)
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 02:35 PM
#10
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wait, so its 3:1 that he does win a bracelet, meaning if i bet 100 and he doesnt win one, he owes me 300?

pretty bad idea imo, even if it "motivates" him more
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05-23-2013 , 02:39 PM
#11
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Did he cap it?
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05-23-2013 , 02:40 PM
#12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SuqAta8
wait, so its 3:1 that he does win a bracelet, meaning if i bet 100 and he doesnt win one, he owes me 300?

pretty bad idea imo, even if it "motivates" him more
no, if he were to win you would owe him 300, if he were to lose then he would owe you 100 duh
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05-23-2013 , 02:56 PM
#13
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sure ill bite. ill ask one question though. Does he take Lock?
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05-23-2013 , 03:06 PM
#14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SuqAta8
wait, so its 3:1 that he does win a bracelet, meaning if i bet 100 and he doesnt win one, he owes me 300?

pretty bad idea imo, even if it "motivates" him more
Spoiler:

Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 03:15 PM
#15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by idun215
sure ill bite. ill ask one question though. Does he take Lock?
only at a rate of .2o cents on the dollar
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 03:24 PM
#16
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Didn't durrrr do something similar to this a few years back?
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05-23-2013 , 03:30 PM
#17
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didn't ivey/dwan offer 2-1 and got huge action?
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 03:31 PM
#18
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Ivey had the same bet last year for 7 figures but at less than 2 - 1, think it was 1.5 or thereabouts

he made 5 final tables, needless to say it was a sick sweat
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05-23-2013 , 03:47 PM
#19
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its min 3k to 1k.
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 03:55 PM
#20
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Sounds like he's tilted from his heads-up loss in Europe.
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05-23-2013 , 04:08 PM
#21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SuqAta8
wait, so its 3:1 that he does win a bracelet, meaning if i bet 100 and he doesnt win one, he owes me 300?

pretty bad idea imo, even if it "motivates" him more
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 04:09 PM
#22
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He is very good at all games. He's going to be playing all the smaller field mixed stuff. 3:1 isn't that far off imo when he's going to play like 30+ events, multi-table, etc.
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05-23-2013 , 04:09 PM
#23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by xalas
no, if he were to win you would owe him 300, if he were to lose then he would owe you 100 duh
lol makes more sense
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05-23-2013 , 04:13 PM
#24
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nvm tweeted him
Jason Mercier gone insane? (offering 3-1 on winning a bracelet) Quote
05-23-2013 , 04:36 PM
#25
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How much action was there on Durrrr winning a bracelet two/years ago? That was hyped up all the time back then
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