Quote:
Originally Posted by BustoPro
Because whatever thought process he used to put Villain on precisely QTss may very well be flawed. Villain may actually HAVE the QTss, but unless that was the ONLY hand in his range, that doesn't make the thought process correct.
I'm not talking about the analysis of the villain's range based upon the entire hand; I'm talking about the analysis/read of villain's specific reaction (e.g., nonverbal communication)
after the river card. If the villain had a boat, he already had it on the turn. I wouldn't expect a notable, unintentional nonverbal cue on the river. If the villain just made a strong flush (but not the straight flush), I also wouldn't expect a notable, unintentional nonverbal cue at that point, because the villain is already concerned about the potential boat. If there was a unintentional nonverbal cue on the river that suggested the villain had just significantly improved his hand, the straight flush may have been the most reasonable explanation.
Again, I'm not defending the fold, and I could never do it. But that doesn't prevent me from trying to at least understand the rationale behind it. This is what I've come up with.