Quote:
Originally Posted by Monteroy
Your stuff has been beginner riggie material so far, but if you want to see what a longer term riggie lifestyle represents, you can simply look at this thread. The guy who just recently said that AA and KK lose but hands like 10 6 crush, or the person who screamed about million dollar prop bets that he could predict the future.
You are an early stage riggie, and having a bit of fun with it, but be careful as the condition can advance and people like that represent the later stages of a riggie lifestyle.
good man; sure hope i don't end up a full blown riggie! not sure if suzyana had advocated this playing style before but I didn't think his/her post from a couple of days ago was serious. it seemed more like a rant type post from somebody on a bad run with big hands.
you guys sure made a meal of it though!
Quote:
Originally Posted by Monteroy
The fact that we agree it would have been leaked by now by someone, yet has not yet, makes this a bit of a moot debate, but how about you think through a simple example
You are in a tournament at a Holdem tournament table with 8 other players who have the following classification
1) You - fill in how you classify yourself
2) Hard core tournament pro
3) Casual Razz cash player, though a good one trying some NL tournaments
4) Player who plays 2 days a week casually but has reasonable stats
5) A player who loses a ton in Omaha cash games but does ok in Holdem tournaments. Net he is down tens of thousands of dollars lifetime due to Omaha cash.
6) A player who has played 5,000+ tournaments but is a healthy loser except for a bink that offset most of the losses
7) Another hard core reg, not as good as player 2
8) A total donk. Does not play a lot, often plays drunk. Plays in a totally random manner
9) A reg who crushed until 2014 and has been break even since.
Now, you show me an example of a hand that is created that will have everyone act as they expect and move chips from the bad players to the good ones.
well players can be ranked and classified based on specific stats. I haven't used poker software myself so I wont know all that is possible but i know for instance vpip is a measure of how lose a player is; how often is a player stealing blinds; amount of good calls vs bad calls (is the player a calling station) etc... also an important factor would be how much you have in your balance since they wouldn't want anybody to get broke so the software can adapt tot his too.
in ur example player 8 will be on the verge of going broke after a period of playing his drunk random style and somebody like 2 or 7 should be a winning player. Lets say at 8 or 7 handed 8 moves all in from early position with 20 bigs with Kj off which is characteristic of his bad play and gets called by 2 with 35 bigs in CO with AK suited. this would be a good candidate hand for outcome to be swayed in favor of 8.
this hand just in from a cash game on ignition. 6 max nl.
limper utg i raise it to 4x with QQ in mp. SB makes it 3X my raise. BB cold calls that 12BB raise. initial limper folds. i go all in for around 52 BBs. re raiser in SB puts in 50 more BBs to try to sgueeze out the BB out but he still calls for more than what i shoved!!
me:QQ
SB:AQ
BB:7 fkn 5 !!!
flop JJ9 no flush draws for anybody. turn 8 and river naturally a 6.
****** with 75 scoops the pot after cold calling 12BB 3 bet raise and 100BB 5 bet re raise! he then utters i was trying to lose to go watch my show.
there u have it; horrible play getting rewarded. exactly the type fish who is supposed to lose his balance in hours wins a big pot where i was in a big +EV situation.
i have taken a look at spadebidder (not all analysis made) and while some of the data is interesting its not even scratching the surface and not looking for correlations between certain situations like this one and possible irregularities. its simply testing the RNG by looking at a large sample of random hands. the first section is also only heads up hands.
not sure if thats all type of analysis that's been made but it definitely doesn't refute anything in terms of outcome of certain big hands being swayed and potentially certain accounts being targeted.
somebody is gonna come and tell me he had X% chance to win so what.i know he does and i know its very little and i had the ****** crushed (as well as the donk in the SB) and any theory is not gonna be proven by the outcome of one hand. but the examples are aplenty and there s definitely trends i notice.
Last edited by Mike Haven; 03-08-2017 at 07:15 PM.
Reason: 2 posts merged