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Originally Posted by genkiDev
What I have noticed about online poker, is that my EV is constantly going up, but my bankroll is constantly going down. Hmmm?
AIEV is a practically useless tool that more often than not is used incorrectly. You can make the wrong play every single time but still have a positive expectation just because you're very rarely drawing completely dead for example.
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It would seem that constantly making correct decisions in 9 man STT on pokerstars equates to a negative ROI - I'm not sure how this is possible without a form of cheating.
As I said, because +EV doesn't always mean "correct".
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Why would online poker be any different? The arguement that they make enough money from the rake is not vaid IMO. Why not seed a few house bots into every tournament and pick up a large percentage of the prze pool as well?
Because creating and running successful bots is hard, whereas collecting rake takes almost zero effort. Even if they decided to take a large percentage of the prize pool, we're talking about peanuts compared to just the rake from that tournament in most cases. In other words, they're already winning more than first prize money in
every tournament, and if they really wanted to win more they'd just increase the rake.
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The arguement that rigging the numbers is impossible is also a falacy.
Oh boy, I look forward to your explanation!
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It is quite possible to maintain an statistical average whilst penalising players at certain points. For instance, you can win AA Vs JJ at 10.20 BB's and double up for a + 150BB EV, but guess what?
Wait, what? How does winning 10 BBs equal +150 EV?
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This allows the mathematics to screw you (purposfully) 10 times when the pot is 15BB's. AND STILL THE NUMBERS WILL LOOK CORRECT.
So to clarify, your theory that it's possible to rig hands without it showing up in statistics is that you just have to rig
11 hands, all the while keeping track of which players are involved in which hands,
and keeping track of how much EV you robbed someone of to make sure it all balances out? And somehow no one will ever notice that they're losing an insanely disproportionate amount of hands because they're for small pots or something?