Quote:
Originally Posted by A-K-Q-J-T
I don't know whether and to what extent FTP is solvent. The reports from posters ITT and elsewhere about withdrawals initiated long before BF but never completed by FTP are concerning.
But I don't think the bank-run analogy is fair unless you add the bank account seizures to both sides of the equation. If FTP's accounts weren't frozen and if FTP could not repay players in the event of a mass exodus, then insolvency would be clear.
The bottom line is this situation is very tricky. On the one hand, FTP needs to be as vague to the public and its players as possible in order to attract new funds from investors and protect its interests in the criminal cases. On the other hand, the more ambiguous it is, the greater the outcry and resulting decline in business. Of course, it is also possible that giving us more details would cause even greater outcry, depending on how badly they've ****ed everything up.
Do note that by my saying they are not solvent, that does not mean they don't have the assets to be able to pay us. Just that they're not liquid right now (in large part due to the seizures).
Similarly, a bank only retains a small fraction (I believe it's less than 10%, but if it's over, it's not by much) of the amount of cash necessary to cover all deposits on loan with it. Their mortgages, property, and other assets all will add up to over 100% of the deposits (assuming they're accounting properly), and yet, they could not pay everyone if a large portion of their customer base immediately asked for their account balance.
Of course, Full Tilt could indeed not have the assets to pay us, but I would prefer to think it's just a liquidity problem.