Quote:
Originally Posted by Playbig2000
it's not like we have AA vs AK. It's pretty much a coin flip. Are you willing to flip a coin with 400BB+? That's up to you.
It's not a coin flip. It's like 55/45. We have slightly over a 10% margin here. Imagine we have 500BB stacks for $1000
EV(AI) = .5507(975+44) - .4453(975) = 126.99
250BB deep
EV(AI) = .5507(475+44) - .4453(475) = 74.23
100BB deep
EV(AI) = .5507(175+44) - .4453(175) = 42.68
50BB deep
EV(AI) = .5507(75+44) - .4453(75) = 32.14
There's no stack depth getting it in is not very profitable. We increase our stack by a minimum of 10.5%, relatively more the shallower we are as dead money gains more significance. If you're turning down spots to increase your stack by 10% just because you're deep that's nuts. If we're bankrolled properly we want to get called at any stack depth.
If he has AKs the margin is smaller but we should still be happy to get it in.
And there are at most 21 plausible combos of 9s the other villain could have had (99, T9s, 98s, A9s), probably less since he's in EP. Whereas there are 48 combos of just AT-AQ. If villain could have AXs that's 80 combos. If he'll raise any Ace that's 176 combos. It's pretty likely there's a dead Ace here. But I'm jamming regardless.