Quote:
Originally Posted by Robot9999
The first limit game that is beatable is 8-16 omaha hi lo.
The first hold em limit game that is beatable is 10-20, 15-30 or 20-40 depending on the lineup.
I disagree. I play mostly $6/$12 O8 and $6/$12 LHE, and I have been beating those games for a dozen years or more. My win rate is usually slightly less than 1BB/hour, but I haven't had a losing year since I started studying those games seriously.
If I'm waiting for a $6/$12 seat and the board offers me a seat in a $3/$6 game, I usually decline (unless I'm really bored). I don't think $3/$6 LHE (or $3/$6 Stud, for that matter) is beatable in the long run—and every prop I've ever asked agrees with me (they are sometimes forced to play in those games).
I used to be on the fence about $4/$8 O8. I felt my win rate in it was only about $1/hour, so if I had a choice between playing that game for an hour while waiting for a seat in a bigger game or reading a magazine, I might as well just read a magazine. But when I looked more closely at my records, I discovered that my win rate at those stakes was more like $5 or $6/hour over several hundred hours.
This should be obvious, but what's more important than the stakes is the average pot size—or rather, the drop as a percentage of the average pot size, but I'm assuming a standard drop of $5–$7/hand (in California, where I play).
If you can find a $4/$8 game where the players are all gambling it up and the average pot size is $100–$120, your expected win rate should be higher than in a tight, passive $6/$12 or $8/$16 game where the average pot size is only $80–$90. And what makes most $3/$6 games unbeatable is an average pot size of <$60—though this won't hold true for all lineups at all hours the game is played.