Estmiates on live winrates for online player
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 21
Can anyone estimate how online win rates might translate to live win rates for low buy in NLHE.
I just want to get a handle on where my goals and expectations should be.
Any help at all would be appreciated.
I am going from $50nl online to playing $200nl live. (my few outings have been resounding successes) My win rate over 60,000 (cash game) hands online was 6.6PTBB/100 (13.2 big blinds per 100 hands). Now that I have to play live again I would like to estimate a target win rate to help monitor my play. (I do have a handle on tells.)
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 15,463
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 954
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 2,208
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 21
Thanks. I appreciate the input.
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 362
It is best to think of live play in terms of hourly rate. If you are playing 1/2 NL and are absolutely crushing it you can expect to win 15-25/hour over the long term depending on what hours/days you are playing. In 2011, I've played 880 hours at 1/2 with profit of 16,500 (little less than 19/hour). You cannot retire on 1/2 NL but if you supplement it with a part-time job or use it to supplement a full time job you can do fine. I play about equal time at 1/2 & 2/5 with my 2/5 sessions on weekends and 1/2 in off times.
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 15,991
No one on 2p2 has ever won less than $25 an hour playing live 1/2 NL, you'll be fine
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 1,494
even 2/5 is like 10nl, chances are if you can beat 50nl online over a significant sample you can crush most forms of live poker.
