Originally Posted by The Sickness
X-post from LV lifestyle but feel like its pertinent here as well.
I think in a post black Friday world it has a chance of success. Sure you may lose the 95 year old nit that complains every time you drop to 7 handed but how good is that guy for the game in the first place. He is pretty much a dead seat.
I also think that the idea that the game will be full of people who used to play 6max online is true but I don't agree with what that means. Tom Dwan is not walking through that door...I think the assumption that anyone who would want to play in the game is a super solid 3.5bb/100 6 max winner online is kinda absurd. They game will be full of people that like to gamble and play 6max and there are a whole lotta bad players that fall into that category. If bad players didn't like playing short the 6max games online would have chance.
The worst over-aggro online player, if he has any experience at all, is worlds better than the live passive fish at low stakes. The passivity and horribad play of the llsnl fish is beyond any level of fishiness in the online world. It's not just that they make horrible calls and are too loose, they also never make anything more than the minimum when they have the best hand, even in spots when it would take the worst play ever to not stack the other player, these fish find ways to do it.
6-max tables do not appeal to these types of players. And these players are the single best source of income for 1/3 and 2/5 games. I play 1/3 and 2/5 at the Wynn. I would love for the six-max tables to "work" because it will drive some of the competent players away from full ring, and maybe drive a limited number of aggro-gambol fish. The rest of the fish, the flop-seeing, call down with 2nd pair typed will stay.
Someone else pointed out in this thread that even the "good" llsnl players simply value town the crap out of these fish...this is entirely correct. A 6-max table full of 2p2ers would abuse me....but at a full ring 1/3 or 2/5, I think I do better because I just see cheap flops with multi-way hands in position and abuse fish who can't fold top pair or an overpair under any condition.
So I hope it works...I hope it drives away some of the competent players because it won't appeal to the passive flop-seers, and that's the vast majority of the players at low stakes no-limit, and the main source of profit. My hunch will be after a month, you guys will see abusing each other is not as fun or profitable as abusing the fish who only want full ring.