Before I moved up to 2/5nl, I CRUSHED 1/2nl for $25/hr+ over 300 hrs sample size
If your friend is competent, you're screwed.
only way you win this bet is if the tables are routinely short or capped buy-in of 50bb.
Only catch really is the game plays fairly deep... semi-soft.
Yeah, you are well and truly screwed. HOpe you didn't bet a lot.
500 hrs is a LOT for a prop bet like this. At 20 hrs a week (part time, i'm assuming he's never grinding this 40hrs a week) this is going to take him 6 months!!!!
that's a retarded prop bet for anything less than the difference in his hourly from 2/5nl (assuming he plays 2/5nl).
Truth be told, unless you bet $10k, this prop bet wouldn't be worth doing. In fact, I wouldn't do it for anything less than $25k.