Originally Posted by Brow2821
...but how do people analyze their assumption making skills in session?
By using deductions, logic, and the scientific method.
Start with an observation:
The girl in Seat #4 is a frail looking 42 yr old asian lady that seems friendly, nice, and sweet. After 2 orbits i noticed she's folded every single hand except her BBs.
Develop a hypothesis:
I think the girl is a weak-tight nit.
Test the hypothesis:
I watch a hand where she raises in LP, gets called, flop is Q 9 2r, checks to her she bets, V raises, she shows KK and says, "You flopped a set huh?" and then she folds.
She is a nit
Now that I know she is a nit, I know I can bet her off of every hand she is in. I also know that if she raises/shoves she has the nuts
This is a simplistic example but it makes the point.
The problems most players have is that they will label someone a TAG or LAG or DONK. but they never go beyond that. There are good and bad TAGs and LAGs and not all DONKs are created equal. Some players are donks when drawing, some are donks preflop but tight post flop, some are tight preflop but aggro spewmonkeys post flop, etc.
SO, you use all the info your observe to form hypothesis and then you test the hypothesis so you can form accurate conclusions. The more you observe, the more accurate your conclusions.
Lastly, all of the above is dependant on your understanding of poker theory and math. If you don't have the knowledge set, then certain plays will look "bad" when in reality they are "good" plays.
For instance, most of the donks I play with don't understand the +EV of squeezing. So, someone straddles 2bb, 4 players limp, I notice the straddler only has 9bb, I limp, straddler goes all-in, 4 players call, I shove AI for 100bb, everyone folds, straddler shows AQ, I turn over JT and win. Entire table berates me for being a donk. So if they were to form a conclusion about me, their conclusions would be wrong because their poker foundation and knowledge set is lacking...
So this all goes back to being able to perform +EV calculations. Understanding EXACTLY how ranging, bluff frequency, equity, fold equity, etc work and then being able to break down a poker situation into mathematical form and solve for the EV will give you a level of understanding less than 10% of the poker playing population has. Which will increase the accuracy of your reads/assumptions...