Quote:
Originally Posted by chrisshiherlis
We know all this already through your webcam feed
I appreciate your situation and how horrible it feels.
We have an innate desire to make sense of it all and a strong pattern bias to remember when things are 1) going against us and 2) seemingly out of the norm. We don't remember the norm so well because it doesn't matter so much for it to have our attention. I went for the train 50 times last year and 45 times it came on time. I never FB / Twitter posted about the punctual ones because that's what's supposed to happen. I barely gave it a second thought. But 1 hour delayed trains loomed large in my consciousness. 'Trains are crap'. 'The network is crap'.
Write down about when things went normally. Write down when they didn't but the glitch/beat turned out in your favour. It will overall be slightly against you compared to the other guy because you're better than him. But apart from that, and over a large time-span, the cards come out exactly as they should with no bias.
I know that words help the feeling little though. It really sucks to be there.
Thanks for the input but it's not the typical selective bias. I"ve never seen this in 1/3 of Century of steady play and wonder how exactly it is possibly random. A player doesn't get anywhere near the long term by playing part time in casinos (they certainly might playing online millions of hands), so the idea that it is all even for everyone is bunk. This is 52 straight sessions of death configuration of deck, not the train was late 5 times. That's thousands and thousands of outs and catches very near zero, I say, very near ZERO of thousands expected to hit.
No big deal. I've already said of myself "I'm not a poker player anymore." I meant that, I came to realize, the same way I meant, "Tiger Woods is not a tournament golfer anymore." You drift away from the game, come back a little, de-commit a little more, drift away, dabble back in ... drift quite a bit more .... then stop playing for long stretches, and at some point you cross a threshold where your head and body isn't even in the game anymore. That's not irrevocable, but it's a big change in status.
One other thing about the streak: I've pulled up on how far I go, going very short with 2 buy-ins, and not once in the streak was the loss anything short of incredibly long and drawn out, just tortuous never lose it quick. I go every time refreshed thinking, "How can they tilt me on two buy-ins?" And the super slow motion beat goes on ... 10 hours of behind the whole 10 hours each time. I do admit, I am sensitive to playing behind for long stretches. I guess I could just start shipping massive overraises continuously and make something happen fast. Only 3 hands that I remember in the whole streak did I do that, just way overship hundreds of dollars over the pot size, was insta-called all three times, I won one but can't remember the hand right now.
And as I've covered I had a bizarrely extended heater of a lifetime preceding it all. Doc Holliday might call it a reckoning but that doesn't make much mathematical sense, does it? Then again, I'm not a mathematical player.
It worked and it worked and it worked and it worked and it worked ... and then this. Actually, it never really worked in hold'em. When this chill hit the Omaha table, losing 61-of-62 runs during one stretch, I backed off to hold'em where you aren't supposed to have to catch. And I caught ZERO outs for ~ 10,000 hands. All at the same time my energy was way off at the table. Weird stuff, but really not a big a deal as it is interesting and anomalous.