Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

Notices

Probability Discussions of probability theory

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 01-25-2017, 06:03 PM   #1
TurkishDelight
stranger
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 7
Royal Flush

The question is who does have better chances getting royal flush on 10 handed PLO playing 10 hours of poker ,or 9 handed NLTH for 120 hours of poker.
Thanks.
TurkishDelight is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-26-2017, 12:37 PM   #2
statmanhal
Pooh-Bah
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 3,869
Re: Royal Flush

Are you comparing a total of 10 hours of nlh to 120 total hours of PLO or 100 hours to 120 or what?.
statmanhal is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-26-2017, 01:06 PM   #3
RustyBrooks
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
RustyBrooks's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 22,916
Re: Royal Flush

Seems pretty straight forward to me
10 handed PLO, 10 hours
vs
9 handed NLH, 120 hours
RustyBrooks is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-26-2017, 01:40 PM   #4
heehaww
Pooh-Bah
 
heehaww's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: It was an attractive goat in AR
Posts: 4,172
Re: Royal Flush

I wonder how wrong is the estimate of comparing P(royal in a hand of Omaha) to 12*P(royal in a hand of Hold'em)
heehaww is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-26-2017, 02:14 PM   #5
Didace
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Didace's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 11,248
Re: Royal Flush

How many hands per hour in each game?
Didace is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 01-26-2017, 02:40 PM   #6
whosnext
Pooh-Bah
 
whosnext's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: California
Posts: 3,675
Re: Royal Flush

If the OP or anyone is interested in these types of questions, I think the information is out there to, at a minimum, come up with a very good approximation. Assuming all hands go to showdown:

- calculate prob of one player getting a royal flush in hold-em per random deal (call this PH)

- calculate prob of one player getting a royal flush in omaha per random deal (call this PO)

- estimate number of deals per hour in 9-handed NLHE

- estimate number of deals per hour in 10-handed PLO

- calculate prob of anybody getting a royal flush in a random deal of 9-handed NLHE as 9*PH minus the prob of multiple people having royal flush on same deal (only way is if royal flush is on board, right?)

- calculate prob of anybody getting a royal flush in a random deal of 10-handed PLO as 10*PO minus the prob of multiple people having royal flush on same deal (this is impossible in omaha, right?)

- calculate prob of anybody getting a royal flush in 9-handed NLHE per hour

- calculate prob of anybody getting a royal flush in 10-handed PLO per hour

- compare over the time frames in question.

Last edited by whosnext; 01-26-2017 at 02:52 PM.
whosnext is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 01-27-2017, 12:42 AM   #7
David Sklansky
Administrator
 
David Sklansky's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2002
Posts: 13,638
Re: Royal Flush

Quote:
Originally Posted by TurkishDelight View Post
The question is who does have better chances getting royal flush on 10 handed PLO playing 10 hours of poker ,or 9 handed NLTH for 120 hours of poker.
Thanks.
Cmon. Omaha gives you six two card hands. Holdem gives you one. Plus you can make a royal in holdem with one card.
David Sklansky is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2017, 06:07 PM   #8
TurkishDelight
stranger
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 7
Re: Royal Flush

Quote:
Originally Posted by Didace View Post
How many hands per hour in each game?
12 hands per hours in PLO,28 hands in per hours on NLTH
TurkishDelight is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2017, 06:12 PM   #9
TurkishDelight
stranger
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 7
Re: Royal Flush

Quote:
Originally Posted by whosnext View Post
If the OP or anyone is interested in these types of questions, I think the information is out there to, at a minimum, come up with a very good approximation. Assuming all hands go to showdown:

- calculate prob of one player getting a royal flush in hold-em per random deal (call this PH)

- calculate prob of one player getting a royal flush in omaha per random deal (call this PO)

- estimate number of deals per hour in 9-handed NLHE

- estimate number of deals per hour in 10-handed PLO

- calculate prob of anybody getting a royal flush in a random deal of 9-handed NLHE as 9*PH minus the prob of multiple people having royal flush on same deal (only way is if royal flush is on board, right?)

- calculate prob of anybody getting a royal flush in a random deal of 10-handed PLO as 10*PO minus the prob of multiple people having royal flush on same deal (this is impossible in omaha, right?)

- calculate prob of anybody getting a royal flush in 9-handed NLHE per hour

- calculate prob of anybody getting a royal flush in 10-handed PLO per hour

- compare over the time frames in question.
12 hands per hrs in PLO vs 28 hands per hrs in NLTH ,
TurkishDelight is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2017, 06:13 PM   #10
TurkishDelight
stranger
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 7
Re: Royal Flush

Quote:
Originally Posted by David Sklansky View Post
Cmon. Omaha gives you six two card hands. Holdem gives you one. Plus you can make a royal in holdem with one card.
you must play both of your cards in NLTH ,like in PLO ,
TurkishDelight is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2017, 06:17 PM   #11
TurkishDelight
stranger
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 7
Re: Royal Flush

Quote:
Originally Posted by statmanhal View Post
Are you comparing a total of 10 hours of nlh to 120 total hours of PLO or 100 hours to 120 or what?.
who has the best chances of getting ROYAL FLUSH, playing 10 hours of PLO with 12 hands per hrs,or playing 120 hrs of NLTH with 28 hands per hour.NOTE must use both of you cards same as PLO 2 from your hand 3 from the board.
TurkishDelight is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 01-31-2017, 06:20 PM   #12
TurkishDelight
stranger
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 7
Re: Royal Flush

Quote:
Originally Posted by statmanhal View Post
Are you comparing a total of 10 hours of nlh to 120 total hours of PLO or 100 hours to 120 or what?.
comparing, who has the edge getting Royal flush ,playin 10 hrs PLO with 12 hand per hrs,or playin 120 hrs NLTH with 28 hand per hrs.must use both of your cards same as in PLO.
TurkishDelight is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-04-2017, 05:02 AM   #13
TurkishDelight
stranger
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 7
Re: Royal Flush

Quote:
Originally Posted by statmanhal View Post
Are you comparing a total of 10 hours of nlh to 120 total hours of PLO or 100 hours to 120 or what?.
yes
TurkishDelight is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:29 PM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ę 2008-2010, Two Plus Two Interactive
 
 
Poker Players - Streaming Live Online