Quote:
Originally Posted by heehaww
There's software for that sort of thing. I don't know how reliable it is since I assume it uses Normal approximation. I was just thinking recently, in live poker I doubt Normal is a good curve to use since there aren't enough hands in a session to approach it. In reality I suspect the median is left of the mean, which would make the ROR higher than the software suggests.
Btw, 300 is not the max at 1/3 (most likely 500 is), it's the max at 1/2 (but some Vegas rooms don't even have a max). I find that when 1/3 isn't the lowest nl stake offered, it tends to play more like a $500 2/5. So if you're only earning 3-5bb at a Vegas tourist-filled 1/3 then I imagine it's not very hard to go on a 1k bb downswing (though if you're only staying for one week then that ofc reduces the ROR, hard to lose that much in 70 hours). But if you're trying to make the most of the trip then it still might be worth playing 1/3, depends how important the 3k is to you.
If you're staying for multiple weeks you can just play 1/2 the first week and that should bring you up to a safer 1/3 bankroll.
I used a ROR website and the number seemed ludicrous. It told me to have a 5 percent ROR I needed something around 3500bb.
I am going for only a week. I am 99.99932 percent certain most 1/3 and all 1/2 do not have a buy-in max over 300 except for the Wynn at 500. The rooms I will play at will be PHo, Aria, B, V all have that 300 max. Wynn will be added in later in the week.
It is only for 1 week. The WR is an approx. It most likely is higher as those games are super soft. Rather go with a smaller number then overestimate.
