"Random distribution" - Page 5 - Gambling and Probability

Didace · 06-29-2012, 12:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nikolai james

For instance, on June 29th there is an astrological configuration that is going to take the market down. This is highly probable. I am going to bet on this. I will put at least 100k in the market on Wednesday the 27th shorting the market. I will sell on Friday and will then go long the market. Because this particular planetary geometry is so reliable I am willing to put this money at risk. If someone would like to make a few bucks it is a good bet with high probability of occurring. Buy PSQ or QID and see what happens. This is something that is going to happen in the general "chart". The same thing can happen in your personal chart.

Note the 29th and what happens in the market.

Oops.

**BruceZ** · 06-29-2012, 12:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BruceZ

Should we cash out with a $3700 profit before it closes? It could gap down at the open tomorrow. The moon will enter Libra overnight.

See, told ya...

http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSEARCA%3AQID

Easy game.

NewOldGuy · 06-29-2012, 12:33 PM

Hmm, hope OP isn't busto.

cyberfish · 06-29-2012, 01:12 PM

Probably time for a revised edition of the book. Fwiw the first edition is lacking too much moonsigns.

otatop · 06-29-2012, 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nikolai james

It is amazing that people are so convinced that they know something without the tiniest thread of experience regarding the subject whatsoever. Just preconceived belief couple with arrogance, ego and closed mindedness. Also an incredible amount of cynicism about my motives. Untrusting natures. It is good to be skeptical. But a good skeptic is open until it is proven either way.

**BruceZ** · 06-29-2012, 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nikolai james

For instance, on June 29th there is an astrological configuration that is going to take the market down. This is highly probable. I am going to bet on this. I will put at least 100k in the market on Wednesday the 27th shorting the market. I will sell on Friday and will then go long the market. Because this particular planetary geometry is so reliable I am willing to put this money at risk. If someone would like to make a few bucks it is a good bet with high probability of occurring. Buy PSQ or QID and see what happens. This is something that is going to happen in the general "chart". The same thing can happen in your personal chart.

Note the 29th and what happens in the market.

The final result is that no matter what time on the 27th he bought QID or PSQ, and no matter what time on the 29th he sold them, he would have lost money.

http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSEARCA%3AQID

http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSEARCA%3Apsq

Sherman · 06-29-2012, 05:04 PM

I cannot believe I invested my entire bankroll in this...

NewOldGuy · 06-29-2012, 06:04 PM

Publisher: Nikolai James (June 18, 2012)
Sold by: Amazon Digital Services
Second Edition due June 30, 2012

Monteroy · 06-29-2012, 06:40 PM

At first he had hoped today would double his book sales.
Then he hoped it would triple them.
Then he realized that would mean the same number of sales.
Then he looked to the stars.
They were shiny.

heehaww · 06-29-2012, 07:20 PM

If his system is an accurate predictor of losing bets, then it's a book worth buying! You can just bet the opposite way every time, and be rich!

Or maybe since we were ridiculing him, he decided to give us the wrong pick on purpose.

Either of those explanations is much more likely than his astrology being inaccurate.

statmanhal · 06-29-2012, 07:59 PM

This may turn into a 2+2 classic thread.

**RustyBrooks** · 06-30-2012, 10:06 PM

Does this mean I don't get to give someone ten thousand dollars? /sadface

Vanhaomena · 07-07-2012, 10:25 PM

Either this is some persistent long term trolling, or OP suffers from a mental illness. Check out http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apophenia and for heavens sake don't bet money you can't afford to lose based on your delusions. It's not real, you're imagining it.

**RustyBrooks** · 07-07-2012, 10:27 PM

Couldn't be that long term, dude never came back

Vanhaomena · 07-08-2012, 03:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RustyBrooks

Couldn't be that long term, dude never came back

He has probably made the opposite prediction elsewhere and got it right.
Of course, it's still a single coinflip and far from impressive to anyone capable of critical thinking, and his forum selection doesn't exactly seem optimal either. I mean come on, the 2p2 probability forum is probably the nut worst place for this. I've seen groups with "skeptic" in their name that are less skeptical than this subforum.