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Old 06-25-2012, 02:49 PM   #31
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Re: "Random distribution"

It is amazing that people are so convinced that they know something without the tiniest thread of experience regarding the subject whatsoever. Just preconceived belief couple with arrogance, ego and closed mindedness. Also an incredible amount of cynicism about my motives. Untrusting natures. It is good to be skeptical. But a good skeptic is open until it is proven either way. This is not a book that I had hoped would make any money. I make money other ways besides hoping that a book on gambling and astrology is going to be a best seller. Gambling and astrology are both considered dubious activities by the general public. I published the book as a lark due to encouragement by a friend who I helped make some money when she went to Vegas.
My motive was to report on a phenomena that I discovered and find some people who were interested and could report their experiences with the method to me to broaden my own understanding. Perhaps it WAS the wrong forum to talk about this.
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Old 06-25-2012, 02:58 PM   #32
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Re: "Random distribution"

OK, you're right. Totally bad faith on my part. I apologize.

So, let's start over!

Here's what we can do. You will make a series of predictions that can be easily tested. Must be more than 1. We can place wagers on the outcomes. Coming up with the rules would probably be the hard part. For example, I won't accept predictions that I already agree with, because you can have arrived at that prediction without using astrology. Obviously it would have to be a series of tests - what idiot would agree that you're right based on the outcome of a single event?

Let's say, something like 100 or 200 predictions. It would be ideal if they were even money predictions - if they were then we could very easily agree upon a threshold for declaring victory. Like let's say we had a series of even money propositions and we agreed to 100 trials. You would only have about a 2.85% chance of getting 60 of these right by chance, so I might accept that if you could get 60/100 right, we'd declare you the winner.

It appears that your methods work on slots. Do they work on simpler things like roulette or blackjack? We could very easily put together a wager. I'd be prepared to meet you in las vegas on the astronomically advantageous date of your choice with $10,000. We could find some independent arbitrators, put the money in escrow, and go through the test.

What do you say? This should be very easy money for you.

(The above represents only a sketch of what the wager would look like, of course, we can negotiate over the actual terms)
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Old 06-25-2012, 03:02 PM   #33
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Re: "Random distribution"

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It is amazing that people are so convinced that they know something without the tiniest thread of experience regarding the subject whatsoever. Just preconceived belief couple with arrogance, ego and closed mindedness.
In my case closed-mindedness has nothing to do with poking fun at you. I actually enjoy believing that the time of one's birth might have some correlation to certain general personality characteristics, whatever the reason might be. It's mysterious but I believe I've seen a fair amount of anecdotal evidence supporting it, and besides it's harmless fun even if we really are just finding a pattern in randomness (we're good at that). And of course there could be many real, physical causes for such a correlation that have nothing to do with astrology, but those aren't as much fun.

That's a far cry from believing that there is a force that allows you to either predict or to influence the outcome of a random process that happens sometime in the future relative to your decisions. Much more likely is that this is just another instance of our mental ability to "find" a pattern in randomness, where without realizing it we place more weight and attention on the right guesses and less weight and attention on the wrong guesses. That's human nature, not astrology.
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Old 06-25-2012, 03:03 PM   #34
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Re: "Random distribution"

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It is amazing that people are so convinced that they know something without the tiniest thread of experience regarding the subject whatsoever. Just preconceived belief couple with arrogance, ego and closed mindedness.
Some channel that into unsellable e-books before hitting the slot machines when the stars are in the right position.


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Also an incredible amount of cynicism about my motives. Untrusting natures. It is good to be skeptical.
Your motives are fairly simple. Money is one motive (though by now you likely realize this is not going to make you any). The other is that you genuinely believe the stuff you are talking about, in which case your motive is to spread your message. That puts you in the fine company of guys on street corners with manifestos written on little billboards.


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But a good skeptic is open until it is proven either way.
Not quite the way it works. Historic behavior of those who have done similar work (ie: comparables) offer a fairly good indication of what to expect from you.

You really think you are the first random guy to spam something on the internet?


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This is not a book that I had hoped would make any money.
Your hope will come true.

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Originally Posted by nikolai james View Post
I make money other ways besides hoping that a book on gambling and astrology is going to be a best seller.
Yeah, the slot machines when the forces are in place. Good resume builder that career choice will be for you.



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Originally Posted by nikolai james View Post
Gambling and astrology are both considered dubious activities by the general public. I published the book as a lark due to encouragement by a friend who I helped make some money when she went to Vegas.
My motive was to report on a phenomena that I discovered and find some people who were interested and could report their experiences with the method to me to broaden my own understanding. Perhaps it WAS the wrong forum to talk about this.
You are just figuring out that a math based probability forum may not be ideal for pitching your weird little guessing theory?

Go to forums like the ones where the fake psychics try to cold read people into the poor house and try to grab some of their stupid money, though realize that is a fairly competitive marketplace, but you might make yourself $5 or so which represents a significant increase to your current income.

At this site you might have better luck posting in this thread

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/28...dition-255990/

just be sure to indicate that your stellar based mood system is needed to break the "rigs" of the poker sites and you will find people who will actually believe you.

All the best.
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Old 06-25-2012, 04:36 PM   #35
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Re: "Random distribution"

BUMP!!! It's been more than an hour and a half since the last post...we can't let this life-changing thread die!

Isn't it obvious that the net gravitational pull of stars many lightyears away -- which amounts to maybe 10^-70 newtons when aligned properly -- has a strong enough effect on your brain to overcome the force of its electromagnetic interactions (a force 10^36 times as strong as gravity) and influence when you pull the lever?
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Old 06-25-2012, 04:53 PM   #36
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Re: "Random distribution"

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When the planets are properly aligned, you'll experience more of the good random numbers. It's hard to describe them but you can tell them when you see them. For example, I'm sure you'll agree:

17: bad random number
221: good random number

So, it's like this. Generate some random numbers, and mark them as good or bad. Do this over long periods of time and correlate with astronomical events. It will pop right out at you. It's really so obvious once you see it.
But which numbers are good random numbers and which numbers are bad random numbers depends entirely on how the machine is programmed. My planetary alignment could be such that it is more likely to give me 221 than 17, but one machine could be programmed to have 17 give me the jackpot and 221 give me lemon, orange, bar. Another machine could give me lemon, orange, bar on both of those numbers. I could play 1000 times, and it is unlikely that I would ever get the same random number twice, so how can I correlate the numbers to the planets? I can't even see the random numbers that are generated. I can only see whether it produces a winning result or a losing result. Even a machine with only a 32-bit random number generator would give over C(4 billion,400 million) possible ways just to map the random numbers onto the 2 outcomes "win" or "lose" with a typical 10% probability of winning. That's a truly astronomical number. I'm perfectly open to the idea that randomness is modulated by mechanisms that we don't yet understand, but surely these mechanisms don't care whether or not I win or lose, understand the programming of the machine that I'm playing, and adjust accordingly! That just isn't logical.

Last edited by BruceZ; 06-25-2012 at 10:15 PM.
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Old 06-25-2012, 05:37 PM   #37
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Re: "Random distribution"

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But which numbers are good random numbers and which numbers are bad random numbers depends entirely on how the machine is programmed. My planetary alignment could be such that it is more likely to give me 221 than 17, but one machine could be programmed to have 17 give me the jackpot and 221 give me lemon, orange, bar.
Now I know you're either trolling or a shill. Come on. 17. It's like the worst random number ever.
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Old 06-25-2012, 07:08 PM   #38
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Re: "Random distribution"

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Now I know you're either trolling or a shill. Come on. 17. It's like the worst random number ever.
No, no, everyone knows prime numbers can't happen randomly.
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Old 06-25-2012, 08:52 PM   #39
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Re: "Random distribution"

thanks everybody for your comments on this. I realize that if I had heard this without any personal experience to put it into context I would be skeptical and probably cynical, too. I have been so close to this information for about ten years now, so I have lost perspective on what it might be like for a person coming to it from no experience. I appreciate the reactions to it. I learned a lot.
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Old 06-25-2012, 09:12 PM   #40
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Re: "Random distribution"

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thanks everybody for your comments on this. I realize that if I had heard this without any personal experience to put it into context I would be skeptical and probably cynical, too. I have been so close to this information for about ten years now, so I have lost perspective on what it might be like for a person coming to it from no experience. I appreciate the reactions to it. I learned a lot.
Well, you haven't learned how to not be patronizing, but in this case it's more amusing than insulting.
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Old 06-25-2012, 09:29 PM   #41
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Re: "Random distribution"

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This method has been verified through thousands of hands of poker and now through hours on slots either online or in casinos.
How many thousands of hands of poker? What was your win rate and standard deviation? How many hours of slots? How many plays per hour? How much did you win? What machines did you play? What casinos? What was its payout schedule? With this information for poker, a standard calculation would allow us to estimate the likelihood that you "verified" your method, or that your results were due only to random chance. Typically a few thousand hands of poker isn't statistically significant to verify that you are a winning player. For slots, the calculation is more difficult because the probabilities for each winning combination are not usually known, but clearly you must have tabulated these as you were playing and made such a calculation, otherwise you couldn't make the statement that you verified your method after a number of hours. This is the type of data that you need to provide on this forum in order to justify the statements that you verified your method.
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Old 06-25-2012, 10:33 PM   #42
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Re: "Random distribution"

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Well, you haven't learned how to not be patronizing, but in this case it's more amusing than insulting.
The stars have not spoken to him properly to inform him that the company he keeps (in business) are the guys who pitch roulette systems on youtube that teach you how to make millions, all for $49.95.

Perhaps he should watch those videos and buy some of their information, or else he is just being a cynical skeptic, and he certainly would not want that.
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Old 06-25-2012, 11:34 PM   #43
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Re: "Random distribution"

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Originally Posted by nikolai james View Post
thanks everybody for your comments on this. I realize that if I had heard this without any personal experience to put it into context I would be skeptical and probably cynical, too. I have been so close to this information for about ten years now, so I have lost perspective on what it might be like for a person coming to it from no experience. I appreciate the reactions to it. I learned a lot.
Don't let it get you down. The people in this group are under the illusion that their actions and decisions are a manifestation of free will. It's going to be hard for you to convince them that their "free will" is nothing more than an unfolding of a destiny the heavens had scripted even before their birth. Some people just aren't ready to hear it -- it's not your fault. Somehow, I find it hard to understand why it is you didn't anticipate this reaction ...
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Old 06-26-2012, 01:26 AM   #44
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Re: "Random distribution"

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The people in this group are under the illusion that their actions and decisions are a manifestation of free will. It's going to be hard for you to convince them that their "free will" is nothing more than an unfolding of a destiny the heavens had scripted even before their birth. Some people just aren't ready to hear it -- it's not your fault.
You are presented with 2 doors. You can either choose door number 1, or BOTH door number 1 AND door number 2, and keep the prizes behind the doors that you choose. An hour ago, an advanced being capable of reading your destiny that the heavens had scripted looked into your future and determined which doors you would choose. If he saw that you would choose only door number 1, he put $10,000 behind door 1, and $1 million behind door 2. If he saw that you would choose both doors, he put only $500 behind door 1 and $1000 behind door 2. Which do you choose?
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Old 06-26-2012, 09:32 AM   #45
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Re: "Random distribution"

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You are presented with 2 doors. You can either choose door number 1, or BOTH door number 1 AND door number 2, and keep the prizes behind the doors that you choose. An hour ago, an advanced being capable of reading your destiny that the heavens had scripted looked into your future and determined which doors you would choose. If he saw that you would choose only door number 1, he put $10,000 behind door 1, and $1 million behind door 2. If he saw that you would choose both doors, he put only $500 behind door 1 and $1000 behind door 2. Which do you choose?
Obviously you pick door #1, use the $10K to rent a bulldozer and knock down door #2. Take that money and give a big middle finger to the advanced being.
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