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Old 06-22-2012, 06:13 PM   #1
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"Random distribution"

Here is a premise I follow in my new book on kindle. Although, luck is distributed according to a normal curve, the distribution of this luck is determined by the aspects of the planets. I bring in my experience of using astrology in the stock market and then I applied it to moments of luck to see what the correlation is. Oddly, the stock market is the place that astrologers have been the most "respected".
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Old 06-22-2012, 06:27 PM   #2
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Re: "Random distribution"

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Although, luck is distributed according to a normal curve, the distribution of this luck is determined by the aspects of the planets. I bring in my experience of using astrology in the stock market and then I applied it to moments of luck to see what the correlation is. Oddly, the stock market is the place that astrologers have been the most "respected".
Okie dokie.
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Old 06-22-2012, 07:22 PM   #3
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Re: "Random distribution"

No.
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Old 06-22-2012, 09:33 PM   #4
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Re: "Random distribution"

Of course a person who had never experienced this would fall back on the accepted understanding dished out in math class. But it really does work.
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Old 06-23-2012, 01:42 AM   #5
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Re: "Random distribution"

Thinly veiled book promotion?

Also, OP is right. Astrology is a very well respected field....
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Old 06-23-2012, 08:22 AM   #6
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Exclamation Re: "Random distribution"

It is a book promotion but also the promotion of the understanding of a phenomena. For instance, on June 29th there is an astrological configuration that is going to take the market down. This is highly probable. I am going to bet on this. I will put at least 100k in the market on Wednesday the 27th shorting the market. I will sell on Friday and will then go long the market. Because this particular planetary geometry is so reliable I am willing to put this money at risk. If someone would like to make a few bucks it is a good bet with high probability of occurring. Buy PSQ or QID and see what happens. This is something that is going to happen in the general "chart". The same thing can happen in your personal chart.

Note the 29th and what happens in the market.
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Old 06-23-2012, 09:32 AM   #7
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Re: "Random distribution"

Good thing you've chosen the probability forum for this. People are going to be highly receptive to your ideas here.
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Old 06-23-2012, 01:23 PM   #8
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Re: "Random distribution"

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Thinly veiled book promotion?
And an attempt to manipulate the market.

I'll wait until it crashes and then go long.
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Old 06-23-2012, 01:56 PM   #9
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Re: "Random distribution"

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Thinly veiled book promotion?

Also, OP is right. Astrology is a very well respected field....
It's as scientific as macroeconomics, it simply hasn't received the same respect.
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Old 06-23-2012, 03:34 PM   #10
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Re: "Random distribution"

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I will put at least 100k in the market on Wednesday the 27th shorting the market. I will sell on Friday and will then go long the market.
You don't sell your short position, you buy stock to cover it (give it back). So I'm pretty sure you are FOS.
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Old 06-23-2012, 03:57 PM   #11
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Re: "Random distribution"

Quote:
Originally Posted by nikolai james View Post
It is a book promotion but also the promotion of the understanding of a phenomena. For instance, on June 29th there is an astrological configuration that is going to take the market down. This is highly probable. I am going to bet on this. I will put at least 100k in the market on Wednesday the 27th shorting the market. I will sell on Friday and will then go long the market. Because this particular planetary geometry is so reliable I am willing to put this money at risk. If someone would like to make a few bucks it is a good bet with high probability of occurring. Buy PSQ or QID and see what happens. This is something that is going to happen in the general "chart". The same thing can happen in your personal chart.

Note the 29th and what happens in the market.
What will happen next is either:

- You guess right and will claim it is significant.

- You will guess wrong and will never come back.

Lots of cons are built on this type of predictive behavior, and you probably predicted the exact opposite events on other forums.

Nobody believes you have any money.

You might be a fake gimmick, but I doubt anyone really cares if you are a gimmick as well since genuine people do these silly little cons for real all day, every day on the internet.

Consider going to the sports betting forum and predicting some games, they love guys like you as well.

All the best.
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Old 06-23-2012, 04:55 PM   #12
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Re: "Random distribution"

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You don't sell your short position, you buy stock to cover it (give it back). So I'm pretty sure you are FOS.
PSQ and QID, the ones he mentioned, are ETFs that basically track the inverse of QQQ, the NASDAQ 100. QID is leveraged 2x, PSQ isn't leveraged I don't think. So you can buy either of those to short the whole nasdaq 100 and sell them to... unshort.

Doesn't mean he's right about astrology, of course.
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Old 06-23-2012, 05:26 PM   #13
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Re: "Random distribution"

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PSQ and QID, the ones he mentioned, are ETFs that basically track the inverse of QQQ, the NASDAQ 100. QID is leveraged 2x, PSQ isn't leveraged I don't think. So you can buy either of those to short the whole nasdaq 100 and sell them to... unshort.
Ah, well my cynicism was entirely misplaced.
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Old 06-24-2012, 09:09 AM   #14
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Re: "Random distribution"

At one time the "weather" was similar to "luck" in that people thought that it was unpredictable and caused randomly or by the gods. Then people learned about high pressure systems and wind patterns and voila, there was a sea change in thinking about weather. There was a pattern and it could be predicted. The pattern is incredibly complex in the sense that there are many small factors that affect the day to day weather, just as there are numerous small planetary factors that influence luck from hour to hour. But the major changes in luck are predictable--the ones that fall in the extremes of the normal curve.
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Old 06-24-2012, 09:32 AM   #15
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Re: "Random distribution"

I cannot vouch for your statements about the history of thinking about weather, but I can say that there is an important difference between weather and astrology: We have identified causal mechanisms for weather. That is, there may be associations between pressure systems and weather just as there may be associations between the planetary alignments and luck. But the causal mechanisms (i.e. the process) between pressure systems and weather has been demonstrated effectively. What is the causal process between planetary alignment and luck? I'm sure your book talks about one, but what is the scientific evidence (i.e. peer reviewed, published work)?
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