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Old 03-25-2010, 08:40 PM   #1
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NCAA bracket odds

I don't know if this had been asked here before so forgive me. Is there a way to figure the odds of picking a perfect bracket in each of 3 scenarios:

1.) you pick every game randoml
2.) you pick the highest seed in every game
3.) you pick based on your feelings about each game
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Old 03-25-2010, 08:44 PM   #2
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Re: NCAA bracket odds

Odds are (mostly) the purview of the probability folks, so post moved.....

-Zeno
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Old 03-25-2010, 08:44 PM   #3
 
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Re: NCAA bracket odds

Quote:
Originally Posted by JJSCOTT2 View Post
I don't know if this had been asked here before so forgive me. Is there a way to figure the odds of picking a perfect bracket in each of 3 scenarios:

1.) you pick every game randoml
p = 1/2^63

Quote:
2.) you pick the highest seed in every game
Sounds like a statistical research project (how often does a 6 seed beat an 11 seed, etc).

Quote:
3.) you pick based on your feelings about each game
p = 1 if you're God.
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Old 03-25-2010, 09:50 PM   #4
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Re: NCAA bracket odds

Quote:
Originally Posted by EvilSteve View Post
Sounds like a statistical research project (how often does a 6 seed beat an 11 seed, etc).
This information is available on wikipedia.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_Me...st-round_games

Sample size is not perfect though, especially for the rarer matchups.
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