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JJSCOTT2 03-25-2010 08:40 PM

NCAA bracket odds
 
I don't know if this had been asked here before so forgive me. Is there a way to figure the odds of picking a perfect bracket in each of 3 scenarios:

1.) you pick every game randoml
2.) you pick the highest seed in every game
3.) you pick based on your feelings about each game

Zeno 03-25-2010 08:44 PM

Re: NCAA bracket odds
 
Odds are (mostly) the purview of the probability folks, so post moved.....

-Zeno

EvilSteve 03-25-2010 08:44 PM

Re: NCAA bracket odds
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by JJSCOTT2 (Post 17743019)
I don't know if this had been asked here before so forgive me. Is there a way to figure the odds of picking a perfect bracket in each of 3 scenarios:

1.) you pick every game randoml

p = 1/2^63

Quote:

2.) you pick the highest seed in every game
Sounds like a statistical research project (how often does a 6 seed beat an 11 seed, etc).

Quote:

3.) you pick based on your feelings about each game
p = 1 if you're God.

teliot 03-25-2010 09:50 PM

Re: NCAA bracket odds
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by EvilSteve (Post 17743100)
Sounds like a statistical research project (how often does a 6 seed beat an 11 seed, etc).

This information is available on wikipedia.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NCAA_Me...st-round_games

Sample size is not perfect though, especially for the rarer matchups.


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