Quote:
no, its 1-(1/8.5^46) (approx)
That should be (1-(1/8.5))^46 ~ e^-(46/8.5) ~ 0.4%.
That assumes that you decided to keep track at a particular time, and observed only 46 hands after that where you had a pair. If you play for a long time, it is much more likely that you will be able to find a streak at some point.
