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11-13-2011 , 08:01 PM
250 coinflips. Losing 80-100%. What's the probability?
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11-13-2011 , 08:37 PM
If you're asking for the probability of losing 80% or more coinflips (50% winning chance) in 250 trials, it never happened; well, lets say it almost certainly never happened.

The probability is on the order of 10^-22. That's a decimal with 22 zeros before a 1.

Obtained from the binomial distribution; in Excel, it is Binomdist(50,250,0.5,True), which is the probability of 50 or fewer wins.
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11-13-2011 , 08:37 PM
binomdist(50,250,0.5,true) = 9.88985E-23
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11-13-2011 , 08:53 PM
Thanks!
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