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 08-08-2012, 05:12 PM #1 Pooh-Bah     Join Date: Aug 2007 Location: Trying not to bluff hamsters Posts: 3,608 Little bit stuck Simple hand, CO opens 3bb, BT calls, flop comes: 9d 7c 2h and pot is 7.5bb. CO bets 5bb. BT needs to defend a range that stops CO profiting by betting ATC. Using GTO math this would be 60% of his hands, but i want BT to defend enough hands so that CO can't cbet 100% of hands since they all have some kind of equity to freeroll him with. So i want to make CO breakeven when betting a hand that has 10% equity for one street(since he is OOP and BT can bet turn). I found 10% to be about accurate for hands under his optimal cbet range. Im not sure if the calc. im doing to workout CO's EV on a cbet is correct though: CO's risk: (total pot when money goes in on flop=21.5bb) * (CO's equity: 0.1) = 2.15bb 5b - 2.15bb = 2.85bb Then do the following calculation altering the % BT folds/calls till i get the answer as 0: EV cbet= .4 * 7.5 - .6 * 2.85 = 1.29bb EV cbet= .3 * 7.5 - .7 * 2.85 = .26bb EV cbet= .28 * 7.5 - .72 * 2.85 = .05bb, so BT needs to defend 72% of hands? Have i done this right please?

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