Jackscracked roullette play - Gambling and Probability

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Jackscracked roullette play

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05-15-2017 , 03:40 PM

SenatorKevin

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Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,905

I've seen a number of instagram posts in my discovery feed of this guy @jackscracked who apparently "crushes" the game with the usual story of pics of nothing but winning sessions. Example: https://www.instagram.com/p/BSXo05_AI15/

On one post, he did post his little system.

https://www.instagram.com/p/BQv1pTagWIZ/

I know the bare minimum when it comes to the game. Is there an easy way to calculate what the EV is of this betting pattern? I'm assuming it's obviously -EV but I'm curious what the actual math is.

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05-15-2017 , 03:54 PM

TomCowley

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Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 5,649

All the number bets are the same, EV is just amount on the table * -5.26%.

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05-15-2017 , 06:40 PM

SenatorKevin

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Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,905

Right, but wouldn't the side bets and corners effect the EV as well? I can't imagine a corner or edge is -5.26. (Sorry if my terms are incorrect)

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05-15-2017 , 09:40 PM

TomCowley

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 5,649

Everything he could put a chip on in that picture is -5.26 (ok I'm assuming a chip on the edge between a number and 2nd 12 is, not familiar with that, but it doesn't matter)

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05-18-2017 , 09:14 AM

jeccross

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Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 3,807

Be careful though - he says it's for American roulette only!

Don't use it on European roulette where you'll go broke half as quickly.

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05-19-2017 , 02:31 PM

SenatorKevin

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Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 2,905

Apparently homeboy has some podcast where he talks about this strategy...

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05-25-2017 , 09:06 PM

asymbacguy

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Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 380

The only way to beat roulette is trying to scientifically demonstrate its flawed randomness.

But there's no point to publicly divulge this discovery other than selling it for millions of bucks.

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05-26-2017 , 10:24 AM

pokermaniac12

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 202

Quote:

Originally Posted by asymbacguy

The only way to beat roulette is trying to scientifically demonstrate its flawed randomness.

But there's no point to publicly divulge this discovery other than selling it for millions of bucks.

Agreed. Youtube "Derren Brown Roulette" for an interesting set of videos.

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05-26-2017 , 06:29 PM

asymbacguy

banned

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 380

Quote:

Originally Posted by pokermaniac12

Agreed. Youtube "Derren Brown Roulette" for an interesting set of videos.

This excerpt taken from one of the above videos comments is quite interesting:

...The only guy I know who beat a roulette table sat and counted ball spins for 3 weeks until he had 20,000 draws, went back and ran them through custom software to determine the table was not level, then wrote a trading simulator to prove he could play a sequence and beat the house, and he did getting kicked out of casino after casino but making a mil before suffering a 'heart attack' at a Vegas Casino ..

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