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 Probability Discussions of probability theory

 07-12-2012, 11:44 PM #1 journeyman   Join Date: Mar 2010 Location: Sydney Posts: 206 Combos & Outs I have just started looking at Combos for No Lmit Holdem. I was wondering what is more important the number of combinations your opponent may hold or the number of outs. How are they related? Or they are not related? For example. Flop 7s 7c 3h Opponent calls your bet after the flop A few hands your opponent could hold are 43 or AK-A8, A6-A4 There are 128 combos of Aces and only 12 for 43 There are 4 outs for an Ace and 3 outs for a three However there is 16% chance of hitting an ace (turn & river) and 128 possibilities your opponent holds an Ace and 12% of hitting a three with only 12 combos. Does the number of combos affect the odds/chances or is that seperate beast? Maybe this doesn't make sense but there just feels like there is some relationship between the two Last edited by Madsaac; 07-12-2012 at 11:51 PM.
 07-13-2012, 11:59 PM #3 journeyman   Join Date: Mar 2010 Location: Sydney Posts: 206 Re: Combos & Outs Great, thanks for that. Thats awesome. I'm not much of a maths person so is there any chance of showing an example of the formula. By the way do you think this can be helpful. I have just finsihed Ed Millers book on Hand Reading and I have just been practising various hand combos with flop and turn cards. Finally I thought there are four aces still left in deck but I suppose if an ace is in his range there is only three?
07-14-2012, 01:10 AM   #4
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 2,336
Re: Combos & Outs

Quote:
 Originally Posted by Madsaac Great, thanks for that. Thats awesome. I'm not much of a maths person so is there any chance of showing an example of the formula.
I have a nice example of this for QQ vs villain range of AA, KK, JJ, AQ+ using weighted combos. It is in a Word table and I don't know how to display that in this forum without getting into all sorts of column alignment problems.

So, PM me with your email address and I'll send you the table or maybe someone can tell me how to import a Word table so it displays correctly,

Won't do anything till tomorrow though. It's late back east.

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