Working on a few custom statistics on pokertracker but need to verify the math of them...

1. Steal %. To account the % of the time BU open raises and BOTH blinds fold. Ex: If each player has a 60% VPIP you will only win without showdown (steal the blinds) 16% of the time when you open the button.

((1-VPIP.SB)*(1-VPIP.BB))*100

2. Blinds Call %. To account the % of the time BOTH blinds call and im gonna see a flop 3-way. Ex: If both players flat 40% of the time you will end up in a min-raised 3-way pot 16% of the time

((BB Call vs BU RFI)*(SB Call vs BU RFI))*100

3. Blinds 3Bet %. To account the % of the time Hero will be facing a 3bet for either villain inthe blinds. Ex: If each player has a 20% 3-bet frequency, we have a 36% chance of being 3-bet.

(1-[(1-BB 3Bet% vs BU RFI)*(1-SB 3Bet% vs BU RFI)])*100

4. Blinds Facing an Open Limp. To account the % of the time SB completes and BB Checks behind after BU open limps. Ex: If the SB completes 50% of hands and the BB checks 70% of the time you will end up in a limped 3-way pot 35% of the time.

((BB Checks Behind after BU Open Limps)*(SB Calls vs BU Open Limps))*100

Thoughts?

waooo over 100 views and no comments.

You posted the same thread in Poker Theory. I think this is generally frowned upon. As answered there, your equations all assume independence and one poster thought that may be minor. I answered there:

"I think the dependencies can be quite significant. Suppose a player has a VPIP of 20%. What that may constitute is 40% when it is folded to him and 10% when not, and that averages out to the 20% based on occurrence frequency of other player action. So multiplying VPIP’s or other metrics assuming independence can be off by quite a bit."