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 Probability Discussions of probability theory

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 05-26-2012, 11:29 AM #1 newbie   Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 24 aces is the probability of seeing 2 aces dealt pre flop to any player in 9 player nl hold'em table once in 24 hands ? cheers zem
 05-26-2012, 11:33 AM #2 veteran   Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: In the wires Posts: 2,335 Re: aces Closer to 1 in 25 I think (for at least 1 player of 9 to get AA). 1 - (1 - 1/221)^9 = 4%
 05-26-2012, 01:32 PM #3 journeyman   Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 333 Re: aces The probability is 9(1/221)-C(9,2)(1/221)(1/C(50,2)) ~ 0.04059100563 or about once every 24.63599964 times.
05-31-2012, 03:05 AM   #4
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Re: aces

Quote:
 Originally Posted by mangler241 The probability is 9(1/221)-C(9,2)(1/221)(1/C(50,2)) ~ 0.04059100563 or about once every 24.63599964 times.
This is correct in real life. If, however, you are playing on randomstars, it's closer to once every 14.774600123 times and lower still if you are playing a low stakes rebuy tournament.

 06-04-2012, 11:51 AM #5 journeyman   Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 226 Re: aces ^lol
06-05-2012, 11:26 PM   #6
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Re: aces

Quote:
 Originally Posted by raymears it's closer to once every 14.774600123 times
I get once every 14.774600127 times. One of us has butchered the math pretty badly and I'm thinking it's you.

06-14-2012, 04:26 PM   #7
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Re: aces

Quote:
 Originally Posted by Blair I get once every 14.774600127 times.
That may be correct for kings. This thread, however, is about aces.

 06-14-2012, 08:14 PM #8 old hand     Join Date: Sep 2007 Location: St. ELMO!!! Posts: 1,208 Re: aces Do people just get angry at poker and scroll down to the probability forum, to ask the experts and make themselves feel betteR?
 07-10-2012, 11:35 AM #9 newbie   Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 15 Re: aces i think probability is one of the funniest subfora ever

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