Quote:
Originally Posted by Troy_AF
Here is my thoughts. Lets say if I 4bet 3x their 3bet (usually 27bb) and they continue only with QQ+/AK, then they will fold 78% from SB and 71% from BB (QQ+/AK = 2.6% of hands).
Trying to understand where you have these numbers from(?).
Quote:
Originally Posted by Troy_AF
Which means roughly when I 4bet the SB 3bet 4 times out of 5 I win 13bb = 52bb.
13 bb? as i can see you have at this point 3bb and he has 9 -> 12 total?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Troy_AF
1 time in 5 he shoves I fold losing 27bb. This shows a profit of 25bb's over 5 hands or roughly 5bb/hand every time I 4bet bluff the SB right? It will be slightly less for the BB since they 3bet tighter but still show a profit. So is 4betting all of my BTN open range profitable assuming my opponents don't adjust?
Judging from your own numbers(and I'm still confused by them), then yes looks like under these specific circumstances and assuming no adjustment it's +EV