Two pair on very wet board in 3bet pot - MTT Poker Strategy

Two Plus Two Forums Poker Strategy No Limit Tournaments

Two pair on very wet board in 3bet pot

Post Reply Subscribe

...

08-21-2017 , 10:35 AM

Marecki

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 419

Poker Stars, $6.82 Buy-in (800/1,600 blinds, 240 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 29,372 (18.4 bb)
BB: 87,914 (54.9 bb)
UTG+1: 48,199 (30.1 bb)
Hero (UTG+2): 184,635 (115.4 bb)
MP1: 43,779 (27.4 bb)
MP2: 51,700 (32.3 bb)
MP3: 77,514 (48.4 bb)
CO: 80,018 (50 bb)
BTN: 86,238 (53.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with Q

UTG+1 folds, Hero raises to 4,000, 4 folds, BTN raises to 10,555, 2 folds, Hero calls 6,555

Flop: (25,670) 9

(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 11,200, Hero calls 11,200

Turn: (48,070) Q

(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 21,400, Hero folds

V seemed like a std TAG but his 3bet was around 10%.
I think there's not much to comment on my decisions on preflop and flop, he should cbet this flop very often.

I didn't have any reads that would indicate that he's capable of doing any crazy aggro stuff postflop so I gave up. We both don't have many flushes in our ranges (I have 0 I guess, he could have a few). His sizing makes him commited to the pot + my range is strong in regards to this board so I doubt that he's bluffing here. I'd say AK or KK+ most often.
Thoughts?

Quote

08-21-2017 , 12:40 PM

Darth_Maul

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 4,435

I don't see any flushes in his range either. Even ìf we give him a 10% 3b, he doesn't have QJs in his range.

However, there are several single spade hands he could have: TT/JJ (maybe even 88), AT/AJ. Too many blockers for QQ/AQ/KQ but it is a non-zero possibility.

So on the turn you're crushed by 99/KK/AA/AK but you're still ahead of all the single spade hands he could be betting. The question is whether he would fire 2 bullets with those hands or check behind. He's probably betting some of them at least.

Sent from my SM-G920W8 using Tapatalk

Quote

08-22-2017 , 03:05 AM

Glaciem

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2016 Posts: 1,830

Think we're deep enough to call on the turn here with two pair.

Think river will go check check alot here

Quote

08-22-2017 , 05:49 AM

daviid

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 2,639

id call turn as well for the reasons darth mentioned.
also strongly disagree with you having zero flushes here, you can actually have quite a few combos, which is why id probably just x/c, x/c, x/f AQ here.

Quote

Post Reply Subscribe

...