Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 426
1k hands on villain with 10% cold call which i think is capped but not gonna cap it since hes a little above 20 bigs and some ppl like to flat AA/KK, doesnt make much diff since we heavily block those
he gets to the turn with Ax floats, broadway hearts, 55+
on the turn facing a shove hes folding all Ax except A3s/A5s/A8s also calling all his pairs 55-AA
i had him getting to the turn with 127 combos. calling the turn with just 55 combos. our shove folds out 43% of his range.
so vs his range for calling a shove (55+, A3s/A5s/A8s) we have 26% eq
if we use the formula
EV= F($Pot)+C(%W*$W)-C(%L*$L)
EV= .43(15.25)+.57(.26*32.98)-.57(.74*17.73)
EV= 6.56 + 4.89 - 7.48 = +3.97bb
my question was is there a more profitable line to take.