Originally Posted by laffs83
"You either are value betting or bluffing"
I cant get my head around this. If I knew my opponents cards then yes, it makes sense, but suppose you have JJ on 45Q flop and the only hands you put your opponent on are AQ or AK. If i have the lead Im going to bet the flop, and there is a 50/50 chance that your ahead, but until you see your opponents decision you dont know if it is a value bet or a bluff.
Am i missing something?
Edit -in terms of equity in this example its not 50%. But its either way more or way less - hence 50/50 im ahead :-)
Yes, you are missing something - sorry if this sounds harsh, but you're missing what is pretty much the most fundamental of principles for a thinking poker player to master.
Of course you don't know your opponent's exact hand, that's why we weigh our hand against his range
, and then you're either betting for value against that range
, or you're bluffing against that range
. So you should
know if you're betting for bluff or value; if you don't know why you're betting then you shouldn't bet.
And it's not 50/50 whether you're ahead, that's just a 2+2 meme that is (was?) funny in BBV, but has no place in serious strat discussions (except those ultra-rare occasions when it actually is 50/50). In each hand you play, you are either ahead of his range, or you are behind his range.