I play pretty TAG running 23/20 with a 13% open from EP. Villain is unknown, aggressive and is running 50/36/16.7 and cold called 50% on BTN over a very small sample. He had previously raised a flop bet before, but I never saw another case of him float/raising turn.

In hindsight I don't love my turn bet as the K isn't a good card for my specific hand, but it's not a terrible bet considering my range as I would have flop cbet all my KK, AK, KQs on that board as well obviously. I guess I never have the straight in my range though.

It's hard to give Villain a raise as he called so widely over the small sample, but got to assume JTs, 33, 99, KQ are all in his range, as well as a lot of air. But is he wild enough to bluff raise EP when the board hits our range so hard?

What are your thoughts on the turn? I hate checking and losing the initiative against an aggressive big stack, but thinking that might have been best given how much my hand hates being raised... but how do I play the river if I check/call the turn as it seems to turn my cards pretty much face up?

Ian

super tough spot. at these stakes, I'd probably fold but if I happened to be v in this hand, I probably have more spades than value hands here. If I do have you beat it's almost entirely with KQ.

I like the turn bet but don't mind c/c with the intention of c/c lots of rivers either.

You should def have the str8 in your range 5 handed btw.

Thanks. River is going to be a monster hero call though, ain't it!!

You are right about the straight... and I do have the str8 in my range. I was typing away this morning without looking at the hand, and my mental look up whilst typing defaulted to my FR EP opening range.

Ian

Raise less pre with this blinds, 2.2x - 2.3x. OTF bet more, and fold now OTT.

Fair points. On the flop, are you thinking 60-65% bet size for this wet texture?

Ugly spot but I think betting the turn made it easier for you to get away from this hand, rather than x/c and having to decide if he's floating/exploiting your weak check. Don't think many villains like the one above will raise OTT with air here facing a bet but they will likely bet when checked to.

On balance it looks like you're usually behind here - gotta fold.

I would check the turn and let him bet with worse. Bet folding with our stack versus this player seems like a mistake versus this opponent.

What are you running for your 3rd HUD value, 3-bet? Certainly not his AF.

Yes, 3 bet. Not enough hands for it to have converged, but what we can probably assume is that he didn't get to the flop with AK+ (or even AQ possibly) given he appears aggressive pre.

as we have a very small sample not looking to deeply into reads here

turn is a good card for Vs flop flatting range, JT,KQ,KsXs all get there