Is this a +EV Open Shove?
The Hand:


The facts:

Villain main stats in 141 hands: is 14/11/2,7 (vpip/pfr/af)
I think villain calling range is about 12%.

Bit too loose imo, fold and wait for a better spot. Another option is raise/fold.

way too looose with almost 18 bbs,

10-11 bbs should be instant push

12-13 bbs should be a push when the table is tight

with your stack, you can just min raise and fold

Folding is pretty terrible. At least jam but usually either r/f or r/c.

jam is > fold vs most players (especially at low buyins)
i'd r/decide as well mostly

Sincerely, I think shoving is +EV in the long run due to villain calling range. He is calling too tight in this spot, I still have fold equity with 17bbs. I also have so fewer opponents after my shove, only 3 players left to act, villain in the BTN and the blinds.

given your M is just under 7 it's never to loose when you shove!
the problem is that open shoving 15bbs or more doesn't indicate a lot of strenght! (not for all, but for many players). therefore you could get snapped off by 77 & 88 or maybe hands like ATs, AJo etc.

but def +ev to shove here

+ev, but rarely optimal.

If the villains who are left to act will 3bet shove on us alot when we 2.1x, then open shoving is best. Since people rarely have wide 3bet shove ranges in lows/micros we should be r/f here.

R/f>>>>open shove>>>>r/c

+1

You are wrong. There s already antes involved, thats why effective bb is lower and just saying you got 18 bb is not right ;-)

Shoving is +ev but i like r/f more in these spots as other poster s already mentioned.

What i dont like about this spot, is that we are dominated by villains calling range. If he has calls, I rather be on two live cards. If we really want to make a move, which i kind of like right about now, i like something connected suited or w/ 1 or 2 gaps, 4 6, 9 10.

Of course we want the table to fold regardless, but at least our ace isnt crushed, and our tail 6 is so weak vs 77+.

Whats the table dynamic lately? These decisions really weigh on how loose the big stacks are calling down the dieing stacks. Or is it one of those check down fold tables and only premiums showing down?

I'm in r/f camp here.

jamming is +EV for sure. but r/f is optimal. don think we can r/c this vs 90% of players.