Carbon 15k GTD Reshove Spot?
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 734
There are 80 players left in the Carbon Poker $11 15K gtd re-entry tourney. 300 paid.
Hero has 190k on 8/16k 600
HJ raises to 32k with 300k behind. I have 67hh in the SB and decide to shove.
Not a lot of history on this guy other than that he was pretty regularly raising when folded to him in LP.
Like it? Don't like it? Why?
I thought these stack sizes were pretty good for a play like this. If he calls and loses to me that cripples him while I gain a lot from a double up and figure his calling range is fairly tight so I should scoop pf most of the time.
I figured his calling range to be like 77+ and AJo+ in this spot. Could be a little looser or even tighter. I am roughly 31% against this range.
wug? There is something to be said for aggression and me not really caring about anything other than a top 5 cash here...but I'd also like to hear from opinions if this weren't the case.
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 21,495
I'd ship here. I'd like to have some kind of read on him but you gotta work with what you have.
Join Date: Mar 2013
Posts: 1,857
I'd prefer A3o > 67s, but either one is probably ok.
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 5,963
who is V? screen name?
seems fine if he had been opening a lot from LP.
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 4,861
it's just going to be a high variance spot if you take it.
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 489
More info would help here, as in other players stack sizes. In a perfect world, I'd be happier shoving 76s as opposed to A3o, but that's me.
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 21,495
vs a reasonable calling range we have 36% equity with 67s and w/A3o we have 33.3% equity. It's not just you! It's just a better hand.
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 920
One thing that comes to mind in this spot is what is hero's image? If we've been shoving recently in the past 2 orbits then that's not good for us. Also if we have a shorter-than-average stack vill may also suspect us of shoving light and therefor call lighter.
I like shoving this spot if our (and vill's) image is right. Since the hand relies so much on fold equity, I feel like it's a disaster if our shoving image is weak and vill calls with hands like QT/JT/A6/K9s/etc. Since we only have 7-high it would be ideal if vill folds many/all Qx/Kx/Jx/etc. but he may not do that if he accurately thinks we are shoving very wide here
