Call and Hope for a Chop? - MTT Poker Strategy

Mr Woods · 02-08-2012, 12:56 PM

Villain is 44/0/0 over 20 hands.. I feel alot of the time vill has an 8 and we're chopping but they could certainly also be betting out with two pair because it looks like they have no clue what's going on.. Any input would be great..

Poker Stars, $2.50 Buy-in (10/20 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #11822812

MP1: 2,780 (139 bb)
MP2: 2,860 (143 bb)
MP3: 3,540 (177 bb)
CO: 2,970 (148.5 bb)
BTN: 2,960 (148 bb)
SB: 2,860 (143 bb)
Hero (BB): 3,000 (150 bb)
UTG+1: 3,150 (157.5 bb)
UTG+2: 2,880 (144 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8

T

3 folds, MP2 calls 20, MP3 calls 20, CO folds, BTN calls 20, SB folds, Hero checks

Flop: (90) A

9

7

(4 players)
Hero bets 45, MP2 calls 45, MP3 calls 45, BTN folds

Turn: (225) T

(3 players)
Hero bets 135, MP2 calls 135, MP3 folds

River: (495) J

(2 players)
Hero bets 325, MP2 raises to 650, Hero calls 325

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**TeamTrousers** · 02-08-2012, 01:08 PM

If you think you're mostly chopping, and sometimes ahead of his two pair, I think you should shove the river and get more value for the times when you're ahead, instead of just calling and missing out on some extra chips.

Of course, sometimes he'll show up with KQ as well, but you can't win 'em all!

bahbahmickey · 02-08-2012, 01:14 PM

raise/ ship river...Q8 and KQ are unlikely here and in a $2.5 tourney you are getting called with worse.

Mr Woods · 02-08-2012, 01:44 PM

Agreed I do feel I lost value in the long run..