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Small Stakes MTT Discussion and analysis of small stakes MTT strategy

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Old 06-17-2012, 01:59 AM   #1
Mph
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The Bigger 3,3$ bottom two pairs on a river paired board.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 3.3 Tournament, 25/50 Blinds (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 (t3457)
MP2 (t2860)
MP3 (t8516)
CO (t2935)
Button (t3230)
SB (t4307)
Hero (BB) (t2995)
UTG (t9530)
UTG+1 (t2820)

Hero's M: 39.93

Preflop: Hero is BB with 10, 4
6 folds, Button calls t50, SB calls t25, Hero checks

Flop: (t150) 10, K, 4 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t130, Button calls t130, 1 fold

Turn: (t410) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets t205, Button calls t205

River: (t820) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets t450, Hero calls t450

Total pot: t1720

BTN running 57/11 (52 hands) with agression flop 0 (20 hands), turn 0,7 (17 hands), river 4 (10 hands).

Board is superdry, so the only missed draw I could imagine is QJ.

Here is two questions:
1) If he bets the river than he mostly valuebet his king and we should fold?
2) Should we bet such a dry board on the river in order to extract more value from some random T?
So, basically what is the best move for Hero on the river - leading or c/c?
And does the answer for the last question will be different if, let's say, board was drawie?

P.S. yeah I know that I should bet more on the turn, I already forgot the reason i bet such smallish )))

Last edited by Mph; 06-17-2012 at 02:07 AM.
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Old 06-17-2012, 06:29 AM   #2
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Re: The Bigger 3,3$ bottom two pairs on a river paired board.

Only bad thing, that I can see is as you said turn bet,but everything else is good. Don`t think that he has K,most probably busted straight dro or T and we beat them.
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Old 06-17-2012, 06:54 AM   #3
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Re: The Bigger 3,3$ bottom two pairs on a river paired board.

nh to river which is a fold
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Old 06-17-2012, 10:18 AM   #4
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Re: The Bigger 3,3$ bottom two pairs on a river paired board.

Probably folding OTR given lack of a draws in general, and stuff like Q9,J9,etc, are likely folding to our bet OTT.

However if we can assume villain is pretty bad, and might call a 1/2 pot OTT w/ these hands, I think his range widens considerably OTR and he has more bluffs than u think and a call becomes more profitable.

Probably still a c/f situation otr, just something to think about.
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Old 06-17-2012, 11:21 AM   #5
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Re: The Bigger 3,3$ bottom two pairs on a river paired board.

I think we have to have some reads that he'll bet busted draws or random tens as a bluff here before we can look him up when the board pairs the river.

His range to continue on the turn is pretty polarized to QJ and random kings, maybe something like AT, but a non-aggro villain (his stats suggest he's pretty loose passive) will probably check that back OTR, since your betting is also consistent with a K.

Without significant reads I fold this most of the time.
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