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99 BB vs 3bet Allin MP1, near bubble, 888  rebuy 99 BB vs 3bet Allin MP1, near bubble, 888  rebuy

09-07-2016 , 03:14 AM
Hi guys!
I had some problems with the 99 yesterday.
It was 5 rebuy, 446 players overall, around 80 left, 63 people in ITM.

UTG is a reg and opens really decent amount of hands from UTG, so great chance that he folds.

On MP1 we don't have many hands, but he is a winning player, if we look in sharkscope, around 30% ROI for 2000 games, ABI 10$.
I think his 3bet shove range is: 77+,AJs+,AQo+ (Maybe I can be wrong and he pushes a little lighter + AJo, maybe ATs, KQs).

Against this range we have around 44,9%
And EV of our push against MP1 is 1,142 BB

Question:
1) Do we have to push here or we can fold because ITM is near?
2) Can we wait for more +EV spot, or this EV is good for shove?
3) Maybe you have some thoughts about their opening and shoving range.

888 Poker - $4.50+$0.50|800/1600 Ante 200 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG+1: 23.03 BB
MP: 41.15 BB
MP+1: 14.46 BB
CO: 43.99 BB
BTN: 22.64 BB
SB: 21.6 BB
Hero (BB): 19.58 BB
UTG: 21.27 BB

8 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has 9 9

UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 14.33 BB and is all-in, Hero?
99 BB vs 3bet Allin MP1, near bubble, 888  rebuy Quote
09-07-2016 , 03:18 AM
I think its tough and bot spots have merits.

It depends on how wide Vil will shove. Although i don't think you should be thinking about min cash, more the fact that you want to win the tourney.
99 BB vs 3bet Allin MP1, near bubble, 888  rebuy Quote
09-07-2016 , 06:39 AM
Without reads, 50% sigh fold, 50% shove&pray...
99 BB vs 3bet Allin MP1, near bubble, 888  rebuy Quote
09-08-2016 , 05:35 PM
I would shove here with our stacksize, v has a smaller pair some of the time like 66-88
99 BB vs 3bet Allin MP1, near bubble, 888  rebuy Quote
09-09-2016 , 04:03 AM
Embrace the variance.
99 BB vs 3bet Allin MP1, near bubble, 888  rebuy Quote
09-09-2016 , 04:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Puzo
Embrace the variance.
Darth Puzo the micro sith lord
99 BB vs 3bet Allin MP1, near bubble, 888  rebuy Quote

      
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