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10$ 2nd pair drawy board 10$ 2nd pair drawy board

04-22-2015 , 01:18 PM
Winamax - €9+€1|300/600 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 86.03 BB (VPIP: 29.82, PFR: 7.02, 3Bet Preflop: 6.45, Hands: 57)
Hero (MP+1): 61.31 BB
CO: 55.25 BB
BTN: 48.03 BB
SB: 27.33 BB
BB: 116.77 BB (VPIP: 61.11, PFR: 38.89, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 18)
UTG: 30.18 BB
UTG+1: 30.67 BB

8 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.3 BB) Hero has J J

fold, fold, MP calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB, MP calls 2 BB

Flop: (10.3 BB, 3 players) 6 Q 8
BB checks, MP checks, Hero bets 5.42 BB, BB calls 5.42 BB, MP calls 5.42 BB

Turn: (26.55 BB, 3 players) 9
BB checks, MP checks, HERO?

What do you think, bet or check is the better option in this situation? What is your plan on the river?

I have a read on MP, on drawy flops he donkbets big with strong but vulnerable hands, so I think he can not have strong hand.
10$ 2nd pair drawy board Quote
04-22-2015 , 02:39 PM
Check flop IMO. Sure it's draw heavy but how many worse hands are you expecting to call you multiway? As played check back and probably fold the river since you narrowed their range and especially because MP over-called.
10$ 2nd pair drawy board Quote
04-22-2015 , 03:55 PM
Cbet flop is fine it's gives you the option of taking the free card on turn then you can reavaluate river
10$ 2nd pair drawy board Quote
04-22-2015 , 06:45 PM
bet flop, check back turn
10$ 2nd pair drawy board Quote
04-22-2015 , 08:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordRiverRat
Check flop IMO. Sure it's draw heavy but how many worse hands are you expecting to call you multiway? As played check back and probably fold the river since you narrowed their range and especially because MP over-called.
I agree, but I think you should seriously consider calling river if BB checks and MP bets. A river bet from MP should be more weighted towards draws than a bet from the BB.
10$ 2nd pair drawy board Quote
04-23-2015 , 04:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LordRiverRat
Sure it's draw heavy but how many worse hands are you expecting to call you multiway?
Well, I think there are a lot of weaker hands that could call. Openended straight draws (75, 97, T9), flush draws, 2nd pairs (87, 98, A8, K8) and because of BB is a really weak player I would expect that sometimes he calls even with gutshots or 3rd pairs. Is it not enough?

On the other hand is it not better to control the pot size by myself? What if BB opens pot size bet on the turn after my flop check?
10$ 2nd pair drawy board Quote
04-23-2015 , 05:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hurroo
Well, I think there are a lot of weaker hands that could call. Openended straight draws (75, 97, T9), flush draws, 2nd pairs (87, 98, A8, K8) and because of BB is a really weak player I would expect that sometimes he calls even with gutshots or 3rd pairs. Is it not enough?

On the other hand is it not better to control the pot size by myself? What if BB opens pot size bet on the turn after my flop check?
I agree with this, I really don't understand checking back this flop. As the preflop aggressor IP we can definitely go for value otf even 3-way, also we maintain the betting lead and likely get to the river without putting any more money in the pot.
10$ 2nd pair drawy board Quote

      
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