Quote:
Originally Posted by Darth_Maul
I think we're just exchanging one bet for the other on the turn and river with our two approaches. On your approach checking the turn means facing a smaller river bet, while on my approach I think betting the turn reduces the chances that villain will bet the river. So it does make the postflop decisions easier in that sense. What I don't like about checking the turn here is that it is multiway and I really don't want to give two players a free card on the river and a chance to catch up.
This is micros. Is anyone ever folding a draw to bet? So your bet is not protecting anything. It is just building the pot for them in case they hit.
Also, when you check the turn, you will win more bets on the river. Why? Because many who miss the river will feel your turn check is a sign of weakness and will try to bluff you on the river. I want them to bet the river. You will induce bluffs and value bets from weaker.
It really comes down to how much is your hand worth. One pair hand is not really worth 3 post flop bets in a multi-way pot. It is worth 2 bets at the most. Therefore, if you bet the turn you should be prepared to fold to a river bet. Do you really want to fold to a river bet here? No, I would rather look weak, disguise my hand and pick off all of the bets on the river, when my opponent feels good enough to value bet JJ or to bluff when he was just floating or missed his draws.
You will learn with enough experience, that in today's game a bet/check/call line shows more profit, than bet/bet lines. With bet/bet lines, TT hands may call, but they will fold a % of the time as well. With bet/check lines TT may lead the river, or at the very least will almost always call the bet/check/bet line.
And I never said that in a vacuum, betting the turn is not profitable. Worse hands will call your bet. But this also has to be balanced with planning for the river. If you bet the turn, it limits the value of your hand. You already blasted away at or near the top limit of the value of your hand and still have one street to play.
What do you do if you get check-raised on the turn? What is your plan if raised? You have to fold.
My line gets me to showdown. Your line sets up situations where you may never see showdown and with a hand with value, and that's a horrible result.
Last edited by jjpregler; 02-09-2016 at 06:43 AM.